Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Xavier Musketeers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaa049913962317c37cda2422dec3f2ad4b4afdf2b42f337944f11ca25bf568a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xavier Musketeersof Marquette Golden Eagles, Xavier Musketeers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 45c | 3,722$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.47 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Xavier Musketeers | 56c | 3,000$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.99 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 17c | 2,752$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.14 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 18c | 2,141$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.94 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Xavier Musketeers | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 43c | 1,947$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.94 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 44c | 1,264$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.5 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Xavier Musketeers | 72c | 1,225$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.58 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Xavier Musketeers | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Xavier Musketeers | 79c | 1,071$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.14 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 43c | 946.8$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.12 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 14c | 904.87$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.67 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Xavier Musketeers | 64c | 817.61$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.46 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Xavier Musketeers | 54c | 608.53$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.92 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Xavier Musketeers | 56c | 607.32$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.32 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Xavier Musketeers | 69c | 414.18$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.37 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 44c | 401.17$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.71 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 27c | 360.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 46c | 360.19$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.19 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Xavier Musketeers | 56c | 310$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Xavier Musketeers | 80c | 299.11$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Xavier Musketeers | 71c | 298.18$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.54 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked Xavier Musketeers | 61c | 294.64$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.64 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 7c | 274.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Xavier Musketeers | 56c | 244$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.41 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Xavier Musketeers | 54c | 216.71$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.19 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Xavier Musketeers | 77c | 199.49$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 43c | 156.88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Xavier Musketeers | 57c | 149.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.49 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…cad2backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 44c | 127$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 11c | 123.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 44c | 105.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 45c | 100.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330d…f0c4backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 43c | 90.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Xavier Musketeers | 55c | 89.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 41c | 68.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 38c | 60.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Xavier Musketeers | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Xavier Musketeers | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…2103backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…c86cbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 27c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…e89dbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 25c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 44c | 37.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 43c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f34…94d0backed Xavier Musketeers | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Xavier Musketeers | 56c | 28.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Xavier Musketeers | 57c | 28.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Xavier Musketeers | 78c | 25.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb1…bd66backed Xavier Musketeers | 55c | 25.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…6894backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 42c | 23.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 43c | 23.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Xavier Musketeers | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Xavier Musketeers | 55c | 22.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f1…4614backed Xavier Musketeers | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…be18backed Xavier Musketeers | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Xavier Musketeersthis page
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Xavier Musketeers: O/U 155.5Over won
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Xavier Musketeers: O/U 156.5Over won
- Spread: Xavier Musketeers (-2.5)Xavier Musketeers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.