Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Dakota State Bison vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c42844eabda600b6dd486af2929b6d2ce30c482bb543dc67841fe05d941e8f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Dakota State Bisonof North Dakota State Bison, North Dakota Fighting Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa04d…1488backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 32c | 1,866$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.43 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 32c | 999$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.68 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked North Dakota State Bison | 68c | 590$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.9 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…9404backed North Dakota State Bison | 66c | 427.05$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed North Dakota State Bison | 66c | 368$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.22 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…7350backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 53c | 365.46$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.39 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 32c | 322.55$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.21 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 6c | 266$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed North Dakota State Bison | 68c | 248.99$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked North Dakota State Bison | 77c | 237.9$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 14c | 234.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 14c | 205.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 32c | 199.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed North Dakota State Bison | 66c | 197.88$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 22c | 192.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 32c | 172.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 8c | 170$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 27c | 167.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed North Dakota State Bison | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 31c | 129.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed North Dakota State Bison | 47c | 126.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.89 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked North Dakota State Bison | 68c | 125.37$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed North Dakota State Bison | 67c | 103.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked North Dakota State Bison | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 31c | 99.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed North Dakota State Bison | 68c | 98.17$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked North Dakota State Bison | 71c | 86.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked North Dakota State Bison | 68c | 73.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked North Dakota State Bison | 66c | 54.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed North Dakota State Bison | 67c | 52.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…b526backed North Dakota State Bison | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed North Dakota State Bison | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed North Dakota State Bison | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1723…9d18backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 30c | 46.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 36c | 40.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed North Dakota State Bison | 79c | 38.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 33c | 36.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 30c | 34.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked North Dakota State Bison | 68c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b48…c530backed North Dakota State Bison | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 74cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed North Dakota State Bison | 71c | 20.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…be18backed North Dakota State Bison | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed North Dakota State Bison | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Dakota State Bison vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawksthis page
- North Dakota State Bison vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks: O/U 148.5Over won
- Spread: North Dakota State Bison (-4.5)North Dakota State Bison won
- Spread: North Dakota State Bison (-5.5)North Dakota State Bison won
- Spread: North Dakota State Bison (-6.5)North Dakota State Bison won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.