Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Alabama State Hornets vs. Southern Jaguars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafba62c4960daa09d052d17d74d113cdb443cd8e9794f2cbbc62a8087fdbae70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southern Jaguarsof Alabama State Hornets, Southern Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Southern Jaguars | 70c | 6,081$4,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.97 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alabama State Hornets | 28c | 5,540$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.05 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Southern Jaguars | 65c | 3,544$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.9 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Southern Jaguars | 75c | 2,188$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.56 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alabama State Hornets | 24c | 1,158$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Alabama State Hornets | 38c | 1,077$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.65 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8348…de9fbacked Alabama State Hornets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Alabama State Hornets | 29c | 921.23$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.11 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alabama State Hornets | 42c | 813.1$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.98 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Alabama State Hornets | 53c | 722$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.48 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Alabama State Hornets | 40c | 697$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.19 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Southern Jaguars | 60c | 582.21$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.36 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Southern Jaguars | 53c | 559$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.87 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Southern Jaguars | 65c | 511.84$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.79 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Alabama State Hornets | 27c | 496$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.92 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Alabama State Hornets | 24c | 451.8$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.43 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Southern Jaguars | 70c | 443.23$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.94 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Southern Jaguars | 63c | 399.98$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.99 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Alabama State Hornets | 32c | 311.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…ea8bbacked Alabama State Hornets | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…0821backed Alabama State Hornets | 50c | 285.5$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Southern Jaguars | 65c | 275.1$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.61 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Alabama State Hornets | 45c | 233.76$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.91 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alabama State Hornets | 13c | 215.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…1390backed Southern Jaguars | 56c | 196$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Southern Jaguars | 54c | 166.87$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.21 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Alabama State Hornets | 36c | 165.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Alabama State Hornets | 24c | 154.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Southern Jaguars | 32c | 154.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.92 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Southern Jaguars | 76c | 145.15$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Alabama State Hornets | 26c | 136.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Southern Jaguars | 76c | 135.53$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Alabama State Hornets | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Southern Jaguars | 78c | 113$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Alabama State Hornets | 38c | 106.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Southern Jaguars | 40c | 98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Alabama State Hornets | 43c | 95.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Alabama State Hornets | 29c | 85.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Alabama State Hornets | 24c | 83.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed Alabama State Hornets | 16c | 79.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Alabama State Hornets | 19c | 60.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Alabama State Hornets | 25c | 59.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Southern Jaguars | 68c | 59.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf34…caf1backed Alabama State Hornets | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alabama State Hornets | 29c | 54.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…e0bcbacked Southern Jaguars | 76c | 52.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Alabama State Hornets | 26c | 50.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Southern Jaguars | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Alabama State Hornets | 24c | 49.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Alabama State Hornets | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Alabama State Hornets | 34c | 39.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd022…1856backed Alabama State Hornets | 56c | 35.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -87%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…e89dbacked Southern Jaguars | 56c | 34.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Southern Jaguars | 58c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fab…21b8backed Alabama State Hornets | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Alabama State Hornets | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Alabama State Hornets | 69c | 29.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Southern Jaguars | 57c | 29.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Alabama State Hornets | 43c | 28.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0324…fdbcbacked Southern Jaguars | 78c | 25.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Southern Jaguars | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Southern Jaguars | 76c | 20.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Southern Jaguars | 59c | 18.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Southern Jaguars | 57c | 17.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc25a…f243backed Southern Jaguars | 75c | 14.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 37 | 86.5%32 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alabama State Hornets vs. Southern Jaguarsthis page
- Alabama State Hornets vs. Southern Jaguars: O/U 149.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.