NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a331f133a9c8c5e00cc01bb08946909da77964d74f29e7fc4c75a729e1d715e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Pistons, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Hornets | 50c | 14,626$7,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,279.49 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Pistons | 56c | 14,425$8,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,037.35 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Pistons | 51c | 11,733$5,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,987.56 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Hornets | 46c | 6,459$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,459.26 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…a002backed Pistons | 1c | 3,008$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…6be7backed Pistons | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Pistons | 37c | 1,637$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Hornets | 54c | 1,610$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.54 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69d…1262backed Hornets | 53c | 1,405$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.4 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6c…9047backed Pistons | 66c | 1,181$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.49 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Pistons | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pistons | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…3cffbacked Pistons | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Pistons | 50c | 999.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…451fbacked Pistons | 48c | 965.65$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Hornets | 51c | 848.35$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.91 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…dce7backed Hornets | 50c | 796$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b37…1dc5backed Pistons | 49c | 763.76$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Hornets | 44c | 759.39$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.23 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Pistons | 55c | 755.79$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.16 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…2734backed Hornets | 50c | 700.6$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.81 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Hornets | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 236 | 48.7%115 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36fd…ce8bbacked Pistons | 54c | 699.98$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Pistons | 50c | 643.52$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.76 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Pistons | 47c | 587.82$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.96 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c15…3c13backed Pistons | 60c | 500.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34e…895ebacked Pistons | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked Pistons | 47c | 499.92$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.96 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…66f5backed Pistons | 50c | 490$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0693…6dabbacked Hornets | 52c | 469.23$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Hornets | 46c | 422.27$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.39 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…16a6backed Pistons | 72c | 411.33$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe58d…7a16backed Pistons | 52c | 400$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…a421backed Pistons | 52c | 356.29$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.02 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x531a…da3cbacked Hornets | 49c | 349.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed Pistons | 45c | 349.97$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34f…e83bbacked Hornets | 49c | 310.18$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Hornets | 50c | 307$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.5 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Pistons | 43c | 299.97$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Hornets | 41c | 284.2$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.9 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4965…176fbacked Pistons | 58c | 282.93$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72d5…53f7backed Hornets | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb867…8620backed Hornets | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Pistons | 57c | 233.79$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.26 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Hornets | 45c | 223.91$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…f511backed Pistons | 57c | 222.81$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Hornets | 50c | 202$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Hornets | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Pistons | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…1d7abacked Pistons | 46c | 199.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…ac2bbacked Hornets | 52c | 190.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 37cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf9…4236backed Pistons | 53c | 188.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3712…ddd1backed Hornets | 60c | 178.3$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d5…124bbacked Hornets | 47c | 170$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0858…3817backed Hornets | 52c | 169.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…a174backed Hornets | 57c | 166.68$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fea…449fbacked Hornets | 57c | 166.68$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7487…6f2dbacked Pistons | 45c | 166.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f44…01fcbacked Pistons | 45c | 166.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pistons | 14c | 165.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0a…17b3backed Hornets | 48c | 165.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Hornets | 45c | 156.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.25 | 178 | 46.1%82 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4a…26f5backed Pistons | 54c | 155$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8a…944fbacked Pistons | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Hornets | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad5e…686fbacked Hornets | 42c | 109.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…0544backed Hornets | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Pistons | 43c | 107.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6b…7b67backed Pistons | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04fd…3930backed Hornets | 48c | 101.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.29per pick | 56cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…f196backed Pistons | 50c | 101.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…62d9backed Pistons | 54c | 100.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…2e51backed Pistons | 47c | 100.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…f37fbacked Hornets | 54c | 100.17$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Hornets | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Hornets | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5433…0d50backed Pistons | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9234…efc4backed Pistons | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Hornets | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…6b68backed Pistons | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdd…c958backed Pistons | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Pistons | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a62…b27fbacked Hornets | 52c | 99.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f5…7606backed Hornets | 53c | 99.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…6159backed Hornets | 50c | 99.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…f625backed Pistons | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51b9…19e8backed Pistons | 49c | 96.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a66…9669backed Pistons | 53c | 96.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…fc8bbacked Hornets | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a14…d0d4backed Pistons | 50c | 84.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…f470backed Pistons | 45c | 76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684e…2f63backed Pistons | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2386…7f9bbacked Hornets | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7093…c1f4backed Pistons | 49c | 73.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac0…78debacked Hornets | 53c | 73.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…6b8ebacked Pistons | 50c | 70.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Pistons | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2b…cb1cbacked Pistons | 61c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Hornets | 27c | 70$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…9905backed Hornets | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.