MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x802764873b0f1a02f3d018d91269a0e6355db8920a8ab42a307aa06b8b3d289f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Pittsburgh Pirates, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $572,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $557,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $572,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 142,822$62,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,103.87 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 98,214$55,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,000 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 89,352$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 75,675$34,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,877.82 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked San Diego Padres | 60c | 30,078$18,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,046.37 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed San Diego Padres | 37c | 30,000$11,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,249.42 | 501 | 52.5%263 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 27,239$11,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,491.57 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 24,165$10,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,520.57 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…608ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 23,318$10,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,058.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,799.96 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 17,838$10,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,087.25 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 17,243$9,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,794.62 | 238 | 54.6%130 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 17,024$7,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,533.43 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 70c | 12,302$8,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,708.3 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 8,887$5,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,339.39 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 8,681$3,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,715.14 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 6,833$3,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,789.95 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa466…1c77backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 79c | 6,230$4,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.02 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +238.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 6,031$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,317.12 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 134 | 38.8%52 W · 82 L | -12.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 4,874$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625.17 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 4,815$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.04 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 4,470$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,547.89 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 4,428$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412.19 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 4,421$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.14 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 4,231$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.65 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 4,222$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.22 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 4,041$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.84 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 3,797$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.26 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 3,491$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.84 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 3,200$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.01 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed San Diego Padres | 19c | 3,179$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.79 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 3,110$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.54 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…40aebacked San Diego Padres | 30c | 3,015$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 2,565$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.81 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4eb…d3f0backed San Diego Padres | 30c | 2,361$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…87e4backed San Diego Padres | 30c | 2,361$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed San Diego Padres | 30c | 2,361$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…299abacked San Diego Padres | 17c | 2,292$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 2,213$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 2,180$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.2 | 208 | 36.5%76 W · 132 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 73c | 2,060$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.06 | 381 | 33.6%128 W · 253 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.96 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 1,944$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.76 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 1,896$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.61 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…1fbebacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,812$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.99 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…7b9bbacked San Diego Padres | 65c | 1,787$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.41 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 1,738$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.2 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d16…22ecbacked San Diego Padres | 31c | 1,724$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed San Diego Padres | 64c | 1,608$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.27 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 1,600$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 1,540$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.38 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 475 | 52%247 W · 228 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 454 | 51.3%233 W · 221 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 1,355$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.24 | 336 | 49.1%165 W · 171 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 1,319$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 1,240$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.8 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 1,158$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.68 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 1,093$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.39 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 1,081$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.48 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7528…6539backed San Diego Padres | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.46per pick | 26cpaid | +216.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e54…b186backed San Diego Padres | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.29per pick | 26cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…0c87backed San Diego Padres | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 1,011$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.93 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked San Diego Padres | 63c | 1,010$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.72 | 278 | 51.8%144 W · 134 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d22bbacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 299 | 47.2%141 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 999$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.44 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 960$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.6 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 930$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.2 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…59e2backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 892.82$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…7f26backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 831.08$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.85 | 508 | 56.9%289 W · 219 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 818.3$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.16 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed San Diego Padres | 63c | 796.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 770$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1b…ec19backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 750$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.7 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 724.74$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.42 | 453 | 58.7%266 W · 187 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 721.54$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.82 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…6e40backed San Diego Padres | 28c | 714.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 19cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 669.64$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 288 | 51%147 W · 141 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed02…85f7backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ea…b845backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 649.2$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 638.19$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.7 | 616 | 46.4%286 W · 330 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 632.38$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.75 | 333 | 52.3%174 W · 159 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 625$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 68c | 623.42$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.89 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…217abacked San Diego Padres | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.30per pick | 23cpaid | +159.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 590$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.8 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 586.62$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.91 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…bf6ebacked San Diego Padres | 28c | 537.06$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego PadresNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.