Mls · resolved market
Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0afd5debc8964254a62dc6f1d505ec9442fd8baba62e18bfe2b5923a2049283
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 67c | 6,416$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.91 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 24c | 4,241$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.16 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 4c | 2,447$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.81 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 15c | 2,210$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.54 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 33c | 2,119$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.57 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 13c | 2,110$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.24 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 74c | 1,422$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.77 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 34c | 1,033$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.27 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 79c | 1,032$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.42 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 970.2$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.95 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked No | 74c | 848$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 674.99$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 668.27$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.07 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 3c | 581.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…2922backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Yes | 27c | 380$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d90…bcd6backed Yes | 11c | 238.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 8c | 180.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 27c | 155.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 25c | 152$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 151.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 13c | 126.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…b109backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 70cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 15c | 99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 78c | 94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9560…f61abacked Yes | 33c | 66.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 33c | 64.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 24c | 57.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 25c | 47.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361f…544dbacked No | 71c | 45.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 22c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 70c | 33.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 30.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…97cebacked No | 73c | 18.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa625…fac6backed No | 73c | 18.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-07-22?No won
- Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-07-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.