TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-07-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$193,713
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$193,873

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,713 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0cbe…1f4ebacked No58c69,999$40,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,416.932365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Yes42c36,414$15,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,293.8112951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed No58c34,396$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,395.841291.7%11 W · 1 L+4.2wins+0.35per pick57cpaid+66.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes0c32,405$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4838246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa36f…180bbacked No56c19,947$11,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,833.192948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes42c19,638$8,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,259.7233346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes42c12,858$5,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,358.7398945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes42c8,813$3,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,690.693,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes42c4,761$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.6213347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes44c4,277$1,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,903.2472850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes42c3,978$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.9653040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes42c3,972$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.0297146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes46c2,316$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.621,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84053046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Yes43c2,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8503234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes44c1,708$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.4473438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes43c1,681$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.1414652.1%76 W · 70 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Yes44c1,506$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.592755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3116…b30dbacked Yes42c1,479$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.08425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-66.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes40c1,410$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.161,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes1c1,333$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.499726.8%26 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes34c1,307$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.311,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes1c1,189$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.568032.5%26 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8455750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8468550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes41c1,021$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.1437649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Yes42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4203441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes44c937.79$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.6391553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Yes44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3521723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-46.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed No80c763.16$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.482846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes41c690.22$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.9571443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes18c664.04$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4610644.3%47 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed No54c650$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2992050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes26c623.5$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.661,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes42c616.82$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.0610042%42 W · 58 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes43c599.99$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2584748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a5f…e226backed Yes44c584$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes43c512$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.4527047%127 W · 143 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed No58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2103751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Yes42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2104334.9%15 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes9c500$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473327.3%9 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes43c476.74$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No79c471$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.517974.7%59 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes43c454.09$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.612650.8%64 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No52c425.87$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.4221547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No60c406.68$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.1611633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No76c388.3$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1923548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39b6…306dbacked No58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.83771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c91…b4d2backed No58c331.24$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.121361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Yes44c314.98$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.596346%29 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes18c314.35$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8822946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes43c302.19$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5870249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes18c282.52$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.715752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes18c264.31$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1117753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc13…cbcabacked Yes19c262.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.77714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes44c252.5$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.611,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No78c248$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9718774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed Yes7c247.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.561060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x648f…bb7bbacked Yes43c233.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.41050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5be1…3371backed Yes43c212.07$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.711723.5%4 W · 13 L-5.6wins-0.33per pick57cpaid-62.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked No54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x88c1…017ebacked No53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.68540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Yes42c187.64$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.719345.2%42 W · 51 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes44c186$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8426150.2%131 W · 130 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes38c175$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.54348.8%21 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed No58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.419940.4%40 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes41c161.29$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1313228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Yes44c141$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.049742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes47c140$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.111144.1%49 W · 62 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes42c131.05$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0411848.3%57 W · 61 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No78c123$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0622269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Yes42c94.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.185954.2%32 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Yes43c91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.545326.4%14 W · 39 L-7.8wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-44.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No75c90.82$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.710273.5%75 W · 27 L+13.5wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+28.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes42c87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5418456.5%104 W · 80 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Yes42c86.21$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.218454.8%46 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Yes46c76.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35130%0 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Yes44c62.02$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2911650.9%59 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe733…f6c9backed No52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.691353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes43c55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6235149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No74c54.9$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1896756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x152f…81a4backed Yes38c54.56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd417…77babacked No58c51.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.74683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+36.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.510754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes42c48.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5714957.7%86 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked No62c45.94$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.463265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Yes43c45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.29346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Yes44c44.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.683551.4%18 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked Yes46c44.69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.568447.6%40 W · 44 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked No59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.371650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a47…cfbbbacked No59c41.31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.94977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.220449%100 W · 104 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Yes45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8416948.5%82 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Yes48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.24634.8%16 W · 30 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x08c0…b3cabacked Yes42c38.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.31250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7415638.5%60 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd6…1b08backed No53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1069…cb66backed Yes47c36.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Yes47c35.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.972763%17 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.