TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-07-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,114
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,896

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,114 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x91fe…c1c6backed No1c24,720$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.4738246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes41c4,274$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,539.3633346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8b8…36ddbacked No72c3,556$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5601258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick70cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No71c3,140$2,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,216.9170249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked No4c2,776$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004413.6%6 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-46.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No29c2,404$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.511,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes31c2,085$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.8535550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes30c1,808$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.9832848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No69c1,600$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.9914652.1%76 W · 70 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No11c1,571$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.999340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed No17c1,496$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.221526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes28c1,437$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.7372850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes64c1,396$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.3392346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes28c1,264$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.013,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked No18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No69c946.62$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.1712951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No24c916.78$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.2210644.3%47 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No24c836.29$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.099239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes44c726.65$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.86341.3%26 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed No71c697.49$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.226346%29 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c697.04$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.9697146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d90…bcd6backed No13c670$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.865733.3%19 W · 38 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0aa8…ea63backed Yes31c653.04$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+108.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No25c563.75$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6822946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No18c547.34$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.713228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes60c476$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.0722269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes56c454$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20019172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No23c445.29$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4517753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed No18c399.85$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.972222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-23.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No72c368.03$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.1191553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa384…3c9fbacked Yes28c358$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.762751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes29c348.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.593865.8%25 W · 13 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes75c334$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.848032.5%26 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes56c332.83$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.3611454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No23c303.51$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.075752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed No21c299.49$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-47.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No73c271$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.834254.8%23 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes77c242.77$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7347240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Yes31c241.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.941650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked No70c232.23$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.562850%14 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d19…2410backed No21c227$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.67650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+58.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No35c218.47$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.681,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes31c193.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.556250%31 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes48c192.1$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5311633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No9c187.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1923548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes78c161$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4217244.8%77 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No69c150$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.535149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No72c140$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.811144.1%49 W · 62 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes75c136$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.134346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked Yes58c98.05$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.182065%13 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes30c92.29$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.673438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No69c81$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8937649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No23c79.95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3968150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe331…0163backed Yes66c75.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.482272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+23.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes58c68.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8196756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No40c66.74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9730735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes78c66.5$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.632619.2%5 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.21per pick40cpaid-45.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c63.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2580358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No69c62.87$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3853046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No69c62$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7826150.2%131 W · 130 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Yes28c60.01$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5114349%70 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes75c56$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1422042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes58c54.21$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.827974.7%59 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked No70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358447.6%40 W · 44 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes28c47.71$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3911848.3%57 W · 61 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf65f…134ebacked Yes31c46.32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.96922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Yes65c45.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.174231%13 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No69c45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.059346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f15…a670backed No70c44.52$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.252483.3%20 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No71c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.220449%100 W · 104 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd072…95e8backed Yes65c34$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+78.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No69c34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.461,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ced…54aebacked No70c31.61$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.241973.7%14 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46d4…ab12backed Yes32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.252343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No70c31.09$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.769345.2%42 W · 51 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb226…4163backed No74c28.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.091681.3%13 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick73cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa06…74c3backed No72c27.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.99850%4 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes53c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7515458.4%90 W · 64 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Yes60c23.54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.416653%35 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c21.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.251,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e79…22e3backed Yes75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed Yes73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12c8…3cb0backed No70c15.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.651172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+39.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed No70c14.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.022934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-33.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.