Premier League · resolved market
Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 1 - 2 Liverpool FC?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31abb08b04a7717e0b54d4075688f0364eb94a5558edb0e2076897ba725973da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6c8…6327backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 10c | 248$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 162 | 33.3%54 W · 108 L | -14.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…db68backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c01…3ee9backed Yes | 10c | 165.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 8c | 157.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…c5dcbacked Yes | 10c | 119$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 109.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe3…d0c9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1529…ba87backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa625…fac6backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…3d6abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 1 - 2 Liverpool FC?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 0 - 0 Liverpool FC?No won
- Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 0 - 1 Liverpool FC?No won
- Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 0 - 3 Liverpool FC?No won
- Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 1 - 0 Liverpool FC?No won
- Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 1 - 1 Liverpool FC?No won
- Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 1 - 3 Liverpool FC?No won
- Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 2 - 0 Liverpool FC?No won
- Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 2 - 1 Liverpool FC?No won
- Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 2 - 2 Liverpool FC?No won
- Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 2 - 3 Liverpool FC?No won
- Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 3 - 0 Liverpool FC?No won
- Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 3 - 1 Liverpool FC?No won
- Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 3 - 2 Liverpool FC?No won
- Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 3 - 3 Liverpool FC?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.