Fifa International · resolved market
Luis Díaz: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30532596503d52f2e5356b9b6c0c1cad367d2757f45e476285246882c048999f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 59c | 19,667$11,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,603.65 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Yes | 41c | 17,005$6,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,032.79 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 60c | 11,663$7,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,045.2 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 40c | 10,760$4,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,456.44 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Yes | 41c | 7,300$2,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,307.43 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.92 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 58c | 2,839$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.52 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked Yes | 40c | 2,110$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.76 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.97 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 59c | 1,730$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.18 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 59c | 1,692$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.25 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 60c | 1,646$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.66 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,206$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.84 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…324cbacked Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 60c | 920.61$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.47 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…ac88backed Yes | 40c | 618.9$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.9 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c9…cf56backed Yes | 42c | 544.4$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.75 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…80c7backed No | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 56c | 432.81$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.04 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…fefcbacked Yes | 41c | 414.63$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.63 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 61c | 378.96$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.5 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…5c77backed Yes | 45c | 333.35$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.35 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Yes | 41c | 307.32$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.32 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 41c | 300$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.08 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 61c | 262.07$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.62 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked No | 59c | 259.76$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.26 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…2f9bbacked Yes | 39c | 257$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.77 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ce…dbd6backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa70e…b02abacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 40c | 252.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.73 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb4…481dbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 39c | 249.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.49 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Yes | 41c | 244.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.04 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e0…32dfbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 55c | 240$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…8c97backed Yes | 42c | 238.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.3 | 161 | 23.6%38 W · 123 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes | 39c | 236.92$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.52 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…4955backed Yes | 41c | 211.29$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.66 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…9627backed Yes | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.13 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 40c | 205.02$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.66 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…f703backed Yes | 42c | 204$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.98 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeacb…4a8ebacked Yes | 41c | 190.24$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.24 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d4…5c5ebacked Yes | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Yes | 39c | 143.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.59 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 40c | 130$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…c73bbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 60c | 120.29$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.18 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed No | 57c | 114.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x566c…3d03backed Yes | 41c | 109.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 40c | 101.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e4…2089backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4c…f3bfbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 61c | 99.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Yes | 40c | 99.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…9086backed Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9429…fd87backed Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked No | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…36dbbacked Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…bd16backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb368…d4e7backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…aa0dbacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…1da8backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab24…ec46backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 62c | 67.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5d…fa9bbacked Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…9bc4backed Yes | 39c | 62.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 259 | 45.2%117 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb078…289ebacked Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4d…fba6backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d5…728fbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…12e0backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…9e28backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807d…72a0backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…ead7backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…641ebacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1acd…53f3backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…355abacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf8…6d0ebacked Yes | 41c | 45.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 59c | 43.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e4…c62abacked No | 63c | 38.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 39c | 38.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54bc…d80ebacked Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…ed8dbacked Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x601d…4987backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf306…4cf8backed Yes | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd96…055ebacked Yes | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 60c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 60c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4682…de69backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4265…3741backed Yes | 38c | 32.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsthis page
- Abbosbek Fayzullayev: 1+ goalsYes won
- Andrés Gómez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Andrés Gómez: 1+ shotsNo won
- Andrés Gómez: 1+ shots on targetNo won
- Cucho Hernández: 1+ goalsNo won
- Cucho Hernández: 1+ shotsNo won
- Cucho Hernández: 1+ shots on targetNo won
- Eldor Shomurodov: 1+ goalsNo won
- Igor Sergeyev: 1+ shotsNo won
- Jaloliddin Masharipov: 1+ goalsNo won
- James Rodríguez: 1+ assistsNo won
- James Rodríguez: 1+ goalsNo won
- James Rodríguez: 2+ goals + assistsNo won
- James Rodríguez: 3+ shotsNo won
- Jaminton Campaz: 1+ goalsYes won
- Jefferson Lerma: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jhon Arias: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jhon Arias: 2+ shotsYes won
- Jorge Carrascal: 1+ shotsNo won
- Juan Fernando Quintero: 1+ goalsNo won
- Juan Fernando Quintero: 1+ shotsNo won
- Juan Fernando Quintero: 1+ shots on targetNo won
- Luis Díaz: 1+ assistsYes won
- Luis Díaz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 4+ shotsNo won
- Luis Suárez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Luis Suárez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Luis Suárez: 2+ goals + assistsNo won
- Richard Ríos: 1+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.