TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Luis Díaz: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,211
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,603

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,211 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed No59c19,667$11,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,603.6553448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Yes41c17,005$6,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,032.7915843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No60c11,663$7,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,045.237959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes40c10,760$4,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,456.442,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed Yes41c7,300$2,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,307.438435.7%30 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,949.9246464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No58c2,839$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.5274447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Yes40c2,110$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.7617944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.9740343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No59c1,730$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.182,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No59c1,692$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.252,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed No60c1,646$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.6616633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes39c1,206$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.8421343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60021542.8%92 W · 123 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1695…324cbacked Yes41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59010931.2%34 W · 75 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No60c920.61$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.4769534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e32…ac88backed Yes40c618.9$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.97951.9%41 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x65c9…cf56backed Yes42c544.4$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.752828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-28.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x414c…80c7backed No59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2955648.2%27 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No56c432.81$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.0432765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52b7…fefcbacked Yes41c414.63$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.638333.7%28 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed No61c378.96$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.536350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefee…5c77backed Yes45c333.35$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.356035%21 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9236…db6dbacked Yes41c307.32$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.3216341.1%67 W · 96 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes41c300$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.082,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No61c262.07$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.6230241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked No59c259.76$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.2612056.7%68 W · 52 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeef3…2f9bbacked Yes39c257$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.771030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82ce…dbd6backed Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.411540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa70e…b02abacked Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.411936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes40c252.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.7314351.7%74 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb4…481dbacked Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15055153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes39c249.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.491,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed Yes41c244.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.0421250.9%108 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62e0…32dfbacked Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.917345.1%78 W · 95 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.929138.5%112 W · 179 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No55c240$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Yes42c238.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.316123.6%38 W · 123 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes39c236.92$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.527853.8%42 W · 36 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0754…4955backed Yes41c211.29$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.662920.7%6 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c92…9627backed Yes39c205.13$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.1310527.6%29 W · 76 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes40c205.02$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.668,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2f9…f703backed Yes42c204$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.984158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeacb…4a8ebacked Yes41c190.24$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.244934.7%17 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes41c182.93$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9366745%300 W · 367 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d4…5c5ebacked Yes41c146.34$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.345745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Yes39c143.59$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5921747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes40c130$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68c9…c73bbacked Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9519641.8%82 W · 114 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No60c120.29$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.182,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked No59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.882348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd5…28f2backed No57c114.2$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.099552.6%50 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x566c…3d03backed Yes41c109.49$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.66942%29 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Yes40c101.26$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2649426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e4…2089backed No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011943.7%52 W · 67 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f4c…f3bfbacked Yes41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5916418.9%31 W · 133 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No61c99.97$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9828873.3%211 W · 77 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Yes40c99.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9727154.6%148 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x961a…e91cbacked Yes41c97.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.564763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xab2d…9086backed Yes41c97.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick33cpaid+107.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9429…fd87backed Yes41c97.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.565646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes39c89.74$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7417738.4%68 W · 109 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked No62c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.636423.6%86 W · 278 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48f8…36dbbacked Yes39c76.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9212036.7%44 W · 76 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x500e…bd16backed Yes39c76.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9216836.9%62 W · 106 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb368…d4e7backed Yes39c76.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.922931%9 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x170e…aa0dbacked Yes40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15db…1da8backed Yes41c73.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.176445.3%29 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab24…ec46backed Yes41c73.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.176055%33 W · 27 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No62c67.38$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.781,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Yes39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.15850%29 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe5d…fa9bbacked Yes40c62.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.54858.3%28 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+10.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8b3…9bc4backed Yes39c62.21$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.954472.7%32 W · 12 L+7.7wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+36%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Yes41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9825945.2%117 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb078…289ebacked Yes41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9820756%116 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d4d…fba6backed Yes37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0514239.4%56 W · 86 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d5…728fbacked Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.289752.6%51 W · 46 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed No60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.112653.2%67 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fa0…12e0backed Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.782343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a57…9e28backed Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.787558.7%44 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x807d…72a0backed Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.783345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7805…ead7backed Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.788263.4%52 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeaf8…641ebacked Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7814540%58 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1acd…53f3backed Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.622748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0633…355abacked Yes44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4516250%81 W · 81 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf8…6d0ebacked Yes41c45.12$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6214127.7%39 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No59c43.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8388838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Yes50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2031747.6%151 W · 166 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e4…c62abacked No63c38.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243948.7%19 W · 20 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Yes39c38.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1517240.7%70 W · 102 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x54bc…d80ebacked Yes41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.596643.9%29 W · 37 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbea6…ed8dbacked Yes41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.591752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x601d…4987backed Yes41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.59837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf306…4cf8backed Yes41c34.15$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1511438.6%44 W · 70 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd96…055ebacked Yes41c34.15$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.153542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No60c33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8539746.3%184 W · 213 L-28.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No60c33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.643,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4682…de69backed No61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204250%21 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4265…3741backed Yes38c32.66$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.254953.1%26 W · 23 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.