Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x825a3664f167de761d5440586872339afa237a3652ea66ff1c444170bd7632e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 31c | 4,103$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.86 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 31c | 3,400$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.99 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Under | 2c | 2,100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Over | 69c | 1,640$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Under | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Under | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 497 | 39.4%196 W · 301 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Under | 2c | 1,200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 69c | 818.01$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.58 | 257 | 43.2%111 W · 146 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 69c | 797.1$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.1 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Over | 69c | 729.85$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.25 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f17…4e54backed Over | 69c | 705.45$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Over | 69c | 567.39$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.89 | 440 | 39.5%174 W · 266 L | -25.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked Over | 69c | 504.35$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.35 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Under | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 649 | 43.1%280 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Over | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c9…cf56backed Over | 69c | 494.86$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.41 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over | 69c | 490$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 76c | 476.41$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.19 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 16c | 437.24$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa8…e33ebacked Over | 69c | 246.38$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked Under | 20c | 229.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 139 | 66.9%93 W · 46 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 24c | 206.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 1,608 | 17.5%282 W · 1,326 L | -245.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 68c | 190$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 75c | 145.05$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 27c | 84.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 23c | 70.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 28c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 1,384 | 31.3%433 W · 951 L | -133.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 619 | 46.5%288 W · 331 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95f…1d48backed Over | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 74c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Over | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Over | 69c | 45.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 278 | 56.5%157 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…0747backed Over | 69c | 43.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Under | 26c | 41.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0076…b1b6backed Over | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 106 | 73.6%78 W · 28 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 31c | 35.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Over | 69c | 31.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 67c | 29.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 75c | 25.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 665 | 58.8%391 W · 274 L | -37.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Over | 69c | 24.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 89 | 67.4%60 W · 29 L | +13.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 47c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 1,412 | 43.8%618 W · 794 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Over | 69c | 22.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 587 | 55.4%325 W · 262 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Over | 69c | 21.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Over | 60c | 20.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Over | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA Challengers (+1.5)Dplus KIA Challengers won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - Asia Masters PlayoffsDplus KIA Challengers won
- LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA Challengers won
- LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA Challengers won
- LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 WinnerKT Rolster Challengers won
- LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 WinnerDplus KIA Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.