Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x952b97bb0f6b862f147b39da5e04c78c8af2e12602d4f076f85a25d17ddaba14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 26c | 2,528$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.21 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 74c | 995$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.7 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 28c | 838.06$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.25 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Over | 74c | 714.06$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.69 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…bcb1backed Over | 74c | 534.83$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c9…cf56backed Over | 75c | 340.67$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.83 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 25c | 318.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Over | 70c | 273$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa8…e33ebacked Over | 75c | 260.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.97 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Over | 74c | 201.35$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 608 | 55.8%339 W · 269 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Under | 27c | 198.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.61 | 545 | 29.7%162 W · 383 L | -34.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 71c | 132$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 73c | 129.89$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 73c | 125$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 501 | 45.7%229 W · 272 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1434…d63bbacked Over | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 27c | 89.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2750…3134backed Over | 74c | 79.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 17c | 72.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6cda…81d4backed Under | 24c | 57.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 65 | 73.8%48 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Under | 34c | 55.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 233 | 30%70 W · 163 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 21c | 54.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…1fc8backed Over | 75c | 53.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Over | 74c | 42.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 273 | 56.8%155 W · 118 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…dfa9backed Over | 74c | 41.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed Over | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 186 | 65.6%122 W · 64 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…0747backed Over | 75c | 39.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…ca74backed Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed Under | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 287 | 59.9%172 W · 115 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Over | 74c | 29.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…caf8backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 176 | 61.9%109 W · 67 L | +15.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x502d…d791backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 71c | 20.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb5…051abacked Over | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 75c | 14.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?Yes won
- Game 5: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA Challengers (+1.5)Dplus KIA Challengers won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters PlayoffsDplus KIA Challengers won
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 WinnerT1 Academy won
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA Challengers won
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 3 WinnerT1 Academy won
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 4 WinnerDplus KIA Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.