Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b2df45c41cf7059788b443ed389cec9e17bb6a9ba814c4fe22d332000258360
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Over | 48c | 7,000$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,643.52 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 52c | 6,459$3,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,358.9 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 41c | 457.44$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.65 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 56c | 410$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Under | 58c | 404.96$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.37 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 52c | 378.9$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.03 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 275.71$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.13 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 47c | 269.95$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.36 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Under | 55c | 245.38$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 51c | 240$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Over | 41c | 227$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.93 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 49c | 204.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.18 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Under | 53c | 196.18$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…0c86backed Over | 47c | 140.26$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.26 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a35…de38backed Under | 59c | 127$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.93 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b81…e7a6backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked Under | 56c | 101.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Over | 48c | 101.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 54c | 100.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 100.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…184dbacked Under | 59c | 84.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 40c | 82.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Over | 47c | 63.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Under | 55c | 52.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafe…c310backed Over | 47c | 44.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Under | 69c | 42.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 49c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Over | 48c | 41.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Under | 55c | 36.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 45c | 26.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)HANJIN BRION won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Dplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.