Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x528f996461fbb187663a933c0676ad01a13fe5dcc182dada77f5fc1add1a8726
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Over | 48c | 12,844$6,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,728.62 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 46c | 7,838$3,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,232.75 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 52c | 5,400$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,807.82 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed Under | 53c | 4,790$2,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,522.79 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 53c | 1,967$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.58 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 52c | 971.35$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.1 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…f491backed Over | 40c | 950$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 422 | 46.4%196 W · 226 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 47c | 917.86$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.46 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…5808backed Over | 48c | 732.46$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.88 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 53c | 699.99$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5217…ec29backed Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 47c | 550$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.5 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 53c | 530.25$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.03 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d38…3575backed Over | 44c | 450.99$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.75 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 205 | 46.3%95 W · 110 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 58c | 412.15$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.1 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 53c | 333.74$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.86 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 48c | 307.37$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.83 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…5aebbacked Under | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 53c | 245.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 49c | 232.25$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.26 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…c3dbbacked Under | 53c | 194.34$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 23c | 176.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.16 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Under | 54c | 167.84$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c7…de4bbacked Under | 53c | 121.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 44c | 108.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…6269backed Under | 56c | 108.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.51 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e3…c540backed Over | 56c | 107$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b81…e7a6backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 56c | 93.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Under | 53c | 90.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 41c | 71.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 52c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 55.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Over | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab1a…4620backed Under | 60c | 43.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 47c | 42.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Under | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68b3…97c8backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…8ee1backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Under | 54c | 30.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 43c | 29.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…6f4ebacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 244 | 53.3%130 W · 114 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…8197backed Under | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed Over | 48c | 22.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 539 | 55.1%297 W · 242 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed Under | 60c | 16.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 287 | 59.9%172 W · 115 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4b…fcaebacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)Nongshim Red Force won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier PlayoffsNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.