Mls · resolved market
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a1c86f47fb8cb74b53d4b51f5d46a6eca80085f4f73ce04d6088ecdbb9ac059
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 41c | 5,666$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Yes | 51c | 4,674$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 36c | 4,488$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.43 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 42c | 4,323$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.4 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 26c | 3,992$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,951.52 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 42c | 3,495$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 63c | 2,402$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.87 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 42c | 2,321$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.62 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 73c | 1,093$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.32 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Yes | 36c | 925$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Yes | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 42c | 769.4$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.14 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 64c | 686.89$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.28 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 671.49$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.91 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 43c | 635.98$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.7 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 31c | 607$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.3 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 52c | 459.28$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.87 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed No | 65c | 449.22$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 65c | 447.74$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.29 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 46c | 446.35$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.3 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 27c | 410.37$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.57 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 36c | 402$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.42 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 63c | 388.1$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.47 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 64c | 383.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.24 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 63c | 367.91$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.76 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 64c | 337.2$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.39 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked No | 65c | 309.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 31c | 302.15$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 64c | 273.96$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.62 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 53c | 272.28$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.87 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 61c | 264.73$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.29 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 69c | 252.85$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.58 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 63c | 252$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.71 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 36c | 243.38$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.91 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 35c | 228.25$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 64c | 220.68$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 35c | 211$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed No | 44c | 205$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.94 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 35c | 202.22$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 41c | 201.59$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.57 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 66c | 193.91$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.53 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd250…b0a4backed Yes | 38c | 179$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 65c | 155.03$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 46c | 154.8$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 59c | 148$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed No | 38c | 141.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.83 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 45c | 139$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 41c | 133.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.39 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…1013backed Yes | 38c | 128$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed No | 28c | 123.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 64c | 118$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 76c | 109.11$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 64c | 105.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 77c | 98.11$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 73c | 95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 53c | 92.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 65c | 92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…291dbacked Yes | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 40c | 90.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked No | 27c | 85.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 37c | 85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 24c | 84.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 40c | 75.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 32c | 75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 36c | 68.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 35c | 64.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 42c | 64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 46c | 61.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 28c | 58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 64c | 55.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 27c | 48.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Yes | 42c | 47.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81c1…54f5backed Yes | 38c | 46.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 43c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 57c | 43.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…94eabacked Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 42c | 40.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Yes | 41c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 63c | 37.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d38…0183backed Yes | 38c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x845d…99d0backed Yes | 35c | 33.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b81…e7a6backed Yes | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…0559backed No | 55c | 19.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked No | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-16?No won
- Will New York Red Bulls vs. New York City FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.