TailMyPicks
Market

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$213,230
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$238,670

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,230 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8853…c058backed Yes30c49,957$14,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,140.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+237.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c19,552$12,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,066.958,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No47c8,030$3,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,785.973,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Yes66c4,705$3,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.168743.7%38 W · 49 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+112%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes66c4,674$3,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.15248.1%25 W · 27 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+10.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes37c4,569$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,871.372,28734.3%784 W · 1,503 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3ddcbacked No61c4,176$2,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,555.696826.5%18 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Yes36c2,920$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.2921638.4%83 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9766…a41dbacked Yes34c2,826$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.26520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes66c2,670$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.341,94551.3%998 W · 947 L+40.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No33c2,402$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.613020%6 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes36c2,318$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.8230048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed01…83a8backed No25c2,312$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.162536%9 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked Yes30c2,275$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.496131.1%19 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+30.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa15e…b828backed No36c2,219$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.671650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes68c2,154$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.6531349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No34c2,145$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.2331136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes48c2,142$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.883036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No35c1,990$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.4319841.9%83 W · 115 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes52c1,969$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.5948547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No38c1,732$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.3753836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71a8…ec90backed Yes37c1,703$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.24837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes65c1,429$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005164.7%33 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9618…77e6backed Yes48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.66616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-65.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46ca…ac4cbacked No71c1,042$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes71c1,031$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.510667.9%72 W · 34 L+15.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6505952.5%31 W · 28 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33021366.7%142 W · 71 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67019447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes66c972.71$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.721,67051.8%865 W · 805 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b79…b1bebacked No27c946.17$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.472937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No24c906.46$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.4582434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes39c799.47$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.2535046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes34c755$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.34770.2%33 W · 14 L+9.7wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+34.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed No69c719.44$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.988746%40 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes43c677.7$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.495,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No34c654.7$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.61,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes69c622$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.511,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes51c594.98$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.3257540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No5c526.4$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3210618.9%20 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes56c514.56$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.637540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes34c487.37$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.5114570.3%102 W · 43 L+22.6wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked Yes41c454.48$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.963743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6797…e0e5backed Yes66c426.32$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.952564%16 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes42c405.4$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.724535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes80c398.73$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.753441.2%14 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf8b…cb2cbacked No49c396.83$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.272937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6522…5ab3backed No30c387.86$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.32742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-24.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes62c382.03$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.7789846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e8f…497dbacked Yes71c374.89$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.96785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick55cpaid+69.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No66c343$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.641662%258 W · 158 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Yes64c338.95$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.785042%21 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed No58c332.76$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1932055%11 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes58c327.7$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2423044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9661…36f6backed Yes38c303.99$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.231838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0314446.5%67 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1561361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+47.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes45c286$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.323733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes30c281.23$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.861,44745.9%664 W · 783 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No65c278.18$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.0763261.2%387 W · 245 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ba1…6aefbacked Yes73c275.75$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.451275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+62.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes46c273.39$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.3619437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes35c272.03$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.538347%39 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes68c268.76$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2320934%71 W · 138 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes33c265.86$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.515466.7%36 W · 18 L+7.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked No38c265.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.952433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes64c260.37$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3716842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes34c250$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.0550643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed No63c245.33$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.1819548.7%95 W · 100 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed Yes34c245.11$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.772846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed No33c238.74$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.713850%69 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed No32c237.82$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.710649.1%52 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes55c227.76$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9845946.8%215 W · 244 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes65c227.28$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5512738.6%49 W · 78 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes48c218.61$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8512740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bc…67c2backed Yes55c218.43$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.433339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcaea…5795backed No65c213.72$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.794228.6%12 W · 30 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-50.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xae2b…44b2backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf762…d55fbacked No63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1262544%11 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed No35c192$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.27445.9%34 W · 40 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes74c177.93$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2619953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7953…9fd1backed Yes41c171.58$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Yes67c162.98$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.786038.3%23 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bcd…c00fbacked No31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No34c158.81$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.791,30350.1%653 W · 650 L-14.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c1…3174backed No31c158.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd82…6a10backed No31c158.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No35c152.05$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.227856.4%44 W · 34 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes33c145.45$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.451040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes66c144.29$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0667337.1%250 W · 423 L+0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked No55c143.32$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.837248.6%35 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes74c142.55$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0616864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No65c142.37$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4872258.6%423 W · 299 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4a0…217abacked No30c139.71$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.91633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes65c129.31$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4632139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No66c128.7$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.791,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bcb…374bbacked Yes34c127.41$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.411963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+39.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Yes65c126.22$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1810426.9%28 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Yes67c125.46$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.484658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0011…4333backed Yes74c121.14$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.844965.3%32 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.