TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-07-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,214
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,709

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,214 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes35c14,785$5,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,668.435550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No66c6,530$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.851,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes61c6,500$3,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,53835247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes37c4,863$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,080.9253040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes33c4,824$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,220.5433346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No67c3,796$2,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,532.1970249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No63c3,174$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.6213347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes33c3,149$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,109.9222841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No65c2,911$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.031,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked No63c2,904$1,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,840.731145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick70cpaid-35.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No64c2,589$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.7914652.1%76 W · 70 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes36c2,432$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.8798945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes62c2,348$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.6231446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed No15c2,153$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.199726.8%26 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No66c1,502$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.7872850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No30c1,330$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.31,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No66c1,327$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.5373438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No64c1,082$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.575743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed No61c1,055$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.8310628.3%30 W · 76 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65053046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No10c958.51$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.339540%38 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe95…1a93backed No68c867.06$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.6911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.8wins-0.42per pick53cpaid-84.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed No67c800$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5362128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-52.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed No64c800$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5121723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-46.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Yes34c797$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.021838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No67c746$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8255750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No67c746$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8268550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No68c745.99$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.9691553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No22c667.95$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.035752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes49c651.25$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.588032.5%26 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No62c600$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3723268.8%22 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes67c580.16$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.226341.3%26 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No38c570.05$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.9411633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No63c540.4$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.5697146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c493.4$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.643,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes37c443.77$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.6560%3 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick23cpaid+130.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No66c415.5$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.431,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x537b…4325backed Yes35c394.49$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No65c391.18$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.5868150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed Yes39c384.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+118.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No11c348$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.289437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1378…dbd2backed No63c342.86$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No15c314.7$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2119645.9%90 W · 106 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6797…e0e5backed No66c303.77$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No28c292.5$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1122946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.714641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No51c283.96$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5423953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No5c282.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2228721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed No5c274.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.073525.7%9 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-45.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41d4…c229backed Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No67c256$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5227047%127 W · 143 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed No12c252.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.633622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-47.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No67c250$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.526450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e5…8737backed Yes33c242.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No66c241.19$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1380358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c78…c49fbacked Yes35c240.6$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.39837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed No66c238.28$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1110753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No61c231.43$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6437649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Yes32c225$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9814349%70 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1defbacked Yes38c222.45$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.921154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No66c219.12$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9854949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed No64c214.67$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.392441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked No7c214.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152832.1%9 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick24cpaid-27.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3947…63a5backed No64c203.66$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.34966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No10c201.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8612247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes70c198.08$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2611454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No20c198$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3727058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Yes72c197.83$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.364566.7%30 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes71c193.61$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.825652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes41c192.14$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.146250%31 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No68c170$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.311144.1%49 W · 62 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked No42c163.29$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.53250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked No63c157.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No61c155$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3578344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No66c154$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.71,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No64c150$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9617751.4%91 W · 86 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No46c149.89$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5345140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No66c149.65$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7712650.8%64 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No51c145.1$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749357%53 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No65c144$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.614359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No34c137.81$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7630735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbd98…bcfcbacked No68c135$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes32c127.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9419642.9%84 W · 112 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No64c126.12$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.724528.9%13 W · 32 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-31.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Yes33c122$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8920660.7%125 W · 81 L+19.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked No63c121.34$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4452923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed No33c120.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012551.2%64 W · 61 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes35c114.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.299250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No65c111.11$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.222673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No59c110.08$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.051637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-33.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f00…5396backed Yes34c110$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+72.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f6d…2d30backed No68c109$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46d4…ab12backed Yes38c105.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.342343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes35c102.86$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8624326.3%64 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3327344.3%121 W · 152 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked No68c98.04$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.672254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed No19c86.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.48144.4%36 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No26c85.69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5892346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes36c83.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.334032.5%13 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes30c83.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3310338.8%40 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.