TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-08-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,944
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,134

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,944 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8868…ec09backed No45c12,083$5,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,645.383073.3%22 W · 8 L+7.0wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+55.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3ddcbacked No53c7,245$3,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,370.076526.2%17 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No47c6,575$3,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,466.011,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed No46c5,943$2,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,196.4819155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No39c4,970$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,028.9512434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x298b…f406backed Yes56c4,768$2,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,670850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No45c4,541$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,494.358743.7%38 W · 49 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+112%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No47c3,941$1,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,078.428,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes55c3,834$2,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,108.6346530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Yes50c3,033$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5102166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed No46c2,660$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.1721538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No45c2,457$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.471,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ca1…58acbacked Yes60c2,400$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No44c2,392$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.5611143.2%48 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Yes55c2,115$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.548660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed No40c2,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,21011039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes49c1,970$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.672,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes55c1,857$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.3549136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes57c1,645$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.535,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No46c1,343$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.562,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No53c1,081$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.393,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No61c1,035$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.411,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes55c898.53$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.1912541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf18…3ca8backed Yes26c860.25$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.671030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No45c786.74$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.766837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes55c760.48$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.261,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes2c755$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.059710.3%10 W · 87 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-72.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Yes60c666.67$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004450%22 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked No59c656.46$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.2216051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3062536%9 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes55c490.18$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.67745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No41c488.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.8221252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed Yes43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-69.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Yes49c429.59$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.433438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed No72c412.17$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.98660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed No38c411.88$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.3429037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Yes62c403.22$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6797…e0e5backed No65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1402564%16 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No45c393.64$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.85446.3%25 W · 29 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked No56c372.38$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2313856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes54c347.27$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.4848547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked Yes22c310.44$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6711220.5%23 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3491…0242backed Yes49c306.2$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes47c303.58$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7451945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No44c302.95$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.658551.8%44 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked No39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18312933.3%43 W · 86 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Yes28c289.98$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.197334.2%25 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes56c286.29$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16020934%71 W · 138 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes62c279.41$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.543441.2%14 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes55c267.52$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.181,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15fa…8fdfbacked Yes43c233$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed Yes51c230.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.738342.2%35 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed No46c217.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.396735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No45c210.96$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.037060%42 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes26c189.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9867548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed Yes14c183.89$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.110828.7%31 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes55c181$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.551,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes54c180$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.216262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed No48c174.91$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7617051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No45c166.46$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.553,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb886…893abacked No45c160$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick59cpaid+60.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No45c150$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8655946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes45c138.72$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4231136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef57…827dbacked No37c137.27$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.48650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77ba…9f0ebacked No43c120$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd682…2c16backed Yes50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-47.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Yes45c112.86$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.116449.4%81 W · 83 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f61…86acbacked Yes56c109.95$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-51.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013850%69 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No64c108$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8830847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Yes38c104.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.079632.3%31 W · 65 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes41c103.73$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4330231.1%94 W · 208 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5523253%123 W · 109 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3947…63a5backed No38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Yes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485437%20 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe23c…5ae7backed No44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565248.1%25 W · 27 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+10.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No46c99.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1824535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed Yes28c99.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.295532.7%18 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x33d2…9ac2backed Yes55c89.29$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.11616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick54cpaid-69.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No43c87.72$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9940…59b3backed Yes56c85.71$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes58c85.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.641,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Yes38c78.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7715041.3%62 W · 88 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes35c78.25$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7121938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5025…2312backed Yes63c77.7$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.95837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c7a…f376backed No52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed No46c76.09$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.091145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No42c75.37$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7849535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Yes55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010044%44 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes54c70.83$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2545746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed No45c69$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9512754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x453d…2dbabacked No43c67.81$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.652119%4 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-51.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No49c64.34$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8295155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6a1…ab16backed Yes55c63.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354872.9%35 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+18.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes54c54.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.691,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Yes46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes47c52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.441,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes55c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.485220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2582434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.