TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-07-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,295
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,553

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,295 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed Yes37c15,154$5,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,592.15650%28 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes43c11,700$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No61c6,785$4,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,627.085,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes37c4,454$1,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,664.4314570.3%102 W · 43 L+22.6wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No61c3,884$2,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.7775240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes40c3,840$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.344346.5%20 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+46.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No73c3,202$2,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.461,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes14c2,273$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.336864.7%44 W · 24 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No67c2,180$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.132,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Yes32c1,708$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.4413748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes38c1,700$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6465133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No62c1,615$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.754431.8%14 W · 30 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-34.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed No63c1,571$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.64852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No64c1,294$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.951749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No64c1,194$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.663,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked No62c1,175$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.8910933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes30c1,024$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.126835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes23c954.21$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.474770.2%33 W · 14 L+9.7wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+34.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x5965…935fbacked Yes42c952.36$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.991435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-19.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes36c811.39$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.3511039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No65c799.99$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28020846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Yes40c707.14$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.757925.3%20 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked No70c695.04$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.2516051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa5…01b3backed Yes30c658.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No62c641.11$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.391,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes31c636.46$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.73,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed No63c594.83$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.078746%40 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes35c567.62$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6711551.3%59 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked No77c500$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.656144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No70c428$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.42,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes38c386.26$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4755250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes34c367.54$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7857540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes35c356.16$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.451,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes12c334.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.861,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes24c327.16$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3419150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3250…7beabacked Yes38c319.64$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed No64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.58660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c298.57$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.361,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes38c256.29$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3912541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes25c247.47$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.798,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes24c219.69$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7310875%81 W · 27 L+16.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes25c211.4$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.221,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked No60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8018631.2%58 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Yes34c199.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682832.1%9 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Yes23c196$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.615143%65 W · 86 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9510…2e7ebacked Yes40c192.37$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.95520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No75c185.07$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.111,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x290a…0994backed Yes25c175.56$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.891070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66e0…b50ebacked Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdd…7f57backed Yes26c148.46$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes27c142$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9495155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a1f…0d9dbacked No78c140.84$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.491266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes31c119.29$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes31c112.96$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357048.6%34 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked Yes25c106$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.54339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes23c105$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6835246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337814.1%11 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc076…d987backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3351654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked No62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386550.8%33 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No63c93$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.412,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed No63c92.94$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.394858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb66e…47c5backed No67c89.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.61838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No63c87.94$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5415651.9%81 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3b…07c9backed No63c87.49$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.631040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No64c83$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5272058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes13c81.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9242946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes26c73.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8389645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b33…d653backed No63c73.39$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.122128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcec8…4bedbacked No63c73.38$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.12757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14fc…d8f4backed No63c73.38$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes34c72.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.733152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f1…e83ebacked Yes26c69.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed No64c68.61$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.78554.1%46 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519543.1%84 W · 111 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4336…492abacked Yes16c65.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.15616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-61.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Yes39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518140.3%73 W · 108 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No64c54.95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7216751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6797…e0e5backed No63c54.43$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.952564%16 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7fd…4bf2backed Yes26c54.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df0…1376backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes35c50.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6417251.7%89 W · 83 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed No63c49.84$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.449054.4%49 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked No63c42.85$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9919164.4%123 W · 68 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No62c41.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9570055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a1…ab16backed No69c41.95$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.954872.9%35 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+18.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc60…6c08backed No63c40.65$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.041631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-46.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa0…0d93backed Yes39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed Yes41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefd7…d93bbacked Yes41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No76c35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.451,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Yes35c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.252850%14 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d2…510abacked No61c34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.351020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No73c32.18$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6928940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd6…34fdbacked Yes42c31.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x569a…4da9backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes42c30.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1545746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed No63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.125345.1%114 W · 139 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.