TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-07-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,170
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,880

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,170 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x770f…b1e8backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes35c6,048$2,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,096.065,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No21c3,936$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,127.1475240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes51c3,212$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,628.123,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked No78c3,177$2,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.581353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed No66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.144768.1%32 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes18c2,534$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.14927.6%7 W · 85 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-51.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes27c2,085$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.392,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…5806backed Yes74c1,991$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.873542.9%15 W · 20 L-5.8wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd362…b180backed Yes29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick39cpaid-71.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked No64c1,622$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.792259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed No74c1,371$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.4729037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes36c1,294$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.781,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes47c1,054$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.891,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No43c1,020$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.646864.7%44 W · 24 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes20c909.56$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.3311039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes51c879.73$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.799259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes34c800$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27220846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed No64c781.16$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.162347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes35c777.86$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.511,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No61c703.2$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.382,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed No21c632.9$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.9910128.7%29 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No45c630.46$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.81,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c625.93$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.338,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No59c602.25$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.8230847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No66c550.5$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.1719742.1%83 W · 114 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No56c527.11$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.5616641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Yes15c515.71$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.317925.3%20 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3250…7beabacked No46c514.88$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.881428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked No46c500$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.876144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes79c464.77$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.8212434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes39c456.95$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.2131136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Yes27c444.44$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes35c437.4$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.13,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Yes23c421.59$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.348746%40 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes74c367.77$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.1510933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No61c354.61$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.31,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes20c331.38$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6226835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Yes8c330.89$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.479920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes31c326.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6428940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes35c299.85$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9510922%24 W · 85 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-37%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes32c299.67$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8951749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb886…893abacked No63c280.04$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.51988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick59cpaid+60.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x48fb…ced4backed Yes13c279.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2166.3%1 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked No68c267.14$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.487843.6%34 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed No68c267.14$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.489244.6%41 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5965…935fbacked Yes19c256.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-19.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8546…35b8backed Yes58c237.63$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes33c234.7$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2555946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf45…401fbacked Yes20c210$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+130.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked No42c209.52$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.527347.9%35 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No49c208.15$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.420665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed No76c202.15$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.878660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes23c199.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4735246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes19c196.18$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.981,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b57…84ebbacked Yes37c189.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked No41c188.14$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11111354.9%62 W · 51 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c8d…280dbacked Yes25c176$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+77.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c1…017ebacked No58c171.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.04944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-35.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick69cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No78c164.71$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4145746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No64c157.25$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.611,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes39c144.4$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.323339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No61c142.5$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3389645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes22c136.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30850%4 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+102%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4c4…a5f6backed No75c131.87$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a4c…1940backed No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.588858%51 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes17c126.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2130231.1%94 W · 208 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes31c126$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0670055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…55f8backed Yes42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Yes75c117.26$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.952462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a1f…0d9dbacked Yes69c111.92$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.481266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf3…4807backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick36cpaid-84.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes27c110.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.641,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6374…6408backed Yes38c108$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes68c108$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9611350.4%57 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes78c102.06$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807048.6%34 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaef0…b68abacked No66c101.72$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.58450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccb9…4718backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404751.1%24 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No62c99.97$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.651,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No20c99.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2813748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No35c96.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7919150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes40c88$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.228665%186 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56f1…e83ebacked Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c3b…07c9backed Yes32c83.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.611040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked No56c83$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.224339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc151…99e5backed Yes19c80$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.22420.8%5 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-56.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3242462.3%264 W · 160 L+24.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcec8…4bedbacked Yes37c77.28$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.41757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020934%71 W · 138 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2476…7eeebacked No78c76.6$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.65164.7%33 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79d…0289backed No78c76.6$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67467.6%50 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No77c74.48$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9655250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b33…d653backed Yes37c71.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.342128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e0…b50ebacked No42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.43944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes35c71.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2433152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes52c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.221765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x14fc…d8f4backed Yes39c66.65$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.73757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce8a…189fbacked No67c52.01$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.011553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes38c50.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.041,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.