Tennis · resolved market
Cincinnati Open (Doubles): Nys/Roger-Vasselin vs Luz/Matos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf5d55c9a079ccf51eb1bdc658ac6ae2a609528e7e65ca61460efc999a692d4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luz/Matosof Nys/Roger-Vasselin, Luz/Matos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae5c…5df7backed Luz/Matos | 72c | 7,141$5,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.15 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nys/Roger-Vasselin | 26c | 6,105$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.52 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Luz/Matos | 64c | 1,244$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.05 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nys/Roger-Vasselin | 45c | 798.04$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.87 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Nys/Roger-Vasselin | 26c | 770.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Nys/Roger-Vasselin | 46c | 599.98$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.83 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a34…51fabacked Nys/Roger-Vasselin | 24c | 410.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 220 | 20%44 W · 176 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…3d80backed Luz/Matos | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Luz/Matos | 70c | 271.4$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Nys/Roger-Vasselin | 31c | 255.39$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nys/Roger-Vasselin | 48c | 233.79$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.22 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Luz/Matos | 55c | 210.2$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.59 | 262 | 63%165 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fab…3cabbacked Nys/Roger-Vasselin | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 249 | 31.3%78 W · 171 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Luz/Matos | 55c | 179.16$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.86 | 275 | 56%154 W · 121 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Luz/Matos | 79c | 149.82$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946d…8c66backed Luz/Matos | 79c | 126.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 70cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nys/Roger-Vasselin | 35c | 105$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Nys/Roger-Vasselin | 45c | 103.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 341 | 48.1%164 W · 177 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e6…0ae1backed Nys/Roger-Vasselin | 64c | 94.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 158 | 64.6%102 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b29…1227backed Luz/Matos | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Nys/Roger-Vasselin | 22c | 84.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Luz/Matos | 54c | 71.57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 491 | 51.7%254 W · 237 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Luz/Matos | 53c | 70.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nys/Roger-Vasselin | 27c | 66.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Luz/Matos | 53c | 66.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 351 | 64.7%227 W · 124 L | +20.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Nys/Roger-Vasselin | 46c | 53.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ab…eefdbacked Luz/Matos | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Luz/Matos | 52c | 51.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…4968backed Nys/Roger-Vasselin | 45c | 35.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Luz/Matos | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.