TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-08-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,320
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,393

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,320 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes57c37,818$21,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,443.6946044.3%204 W · 256 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes53c19,654$10,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,272.24862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No44c12,300$5,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,467.982,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No29c10,073$2,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,938.762,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No45c10,038$4,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,554.537231.9%23 W · 49 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Yes57c9,732$5,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,200.682846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed No47c8,511$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0002944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No28c7,285$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,004.845,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No45c5,980$2,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,687.585250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No45c5,500$2,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,48677350.2%388 W · 385 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked No47c5,000$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,329.991060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb0…6a68backed Yes56c4,801$2,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,112.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No43c3,676$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,591.132,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…4ac2backed No43c3,500$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No47c2,673$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.6518743.9%82 W · 105 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes71c2,378$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.592043.4%399 W · 521 L-4.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No43c2,324$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.3232436.4%118 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Yes54c2,222$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.223444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No43c2,145$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.282763%17 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+34.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed No44c2,143$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.742646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No43c2,128$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.0314853.4%79 W · 69 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6903154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed No47c1,421$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.15048%24 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Yes57c1,228$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.076660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No43c1,184$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.7754650.4%275 W · 271 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked No16c1,100$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.045738.6%22 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb72…291fbacked Yes54c896$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.161154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No45c885.4$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.231,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Yes57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No44c820.52$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.0551842.1%218 W · 300 L-18.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No44c808.12$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.4439852.5%209 W · 189 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No44c787.75$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.317650%88 W · 88 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No45c740$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.441,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Yes57c712.25$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.254757.4%27 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9f8…0108backed No43c700$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018344.3%81 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Yes54c660$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.61163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No43c542.62$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.3318343.7%80 W · 103 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No47c526.52$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.461,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked No46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2305560%33 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No44c499.34$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.7127554.9%151 W · 124 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No47c434.39$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.161258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No43c434$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.621,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes61c418.7$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.537,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No47c397.37$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.7691148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes52c375$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1805848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed No44c344.25$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Yes57c284.56$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.723464.7%22 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed No47c213.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.391250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes54c201.72$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.797470.3%52 W · 22 L+14.0wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+40.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xbff3…b0d1backed No49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3118248.4%88 W · 94 L+13.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes55c168$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2529754.5%162 W · 135 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Yes71c160$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Yes54c140.22$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.51656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+55.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Yes52c133.42$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.422853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed No44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442055%11 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No24c99.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410936.7%40 W · 69 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked No17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.717529.1%51 W · 124 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3820…ffc3backed Yes54c99.5$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.771758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed No25c99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.945728.1%16 W · 41 L-7.4wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-52.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed No29c97$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes60c96.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6724466%161 W · 83 L+15.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No44c93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.481,14353.2%608 W · 535 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No45c91$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.262,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2921854.1%118 W · 100 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed No46c85.09$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.14520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x294f…eeabbacked Yes73c79.15$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.441145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick64cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes73c69.32$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.723644.4%16 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No44c68.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0273440.1%294 W · 440 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes72c67.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.89683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba17…5c67backed No44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed Yes76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122748.1%13 W · 14 L-5.0wins-0.19per pick67cpaid-28.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes58c49.43$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9412664.3%81 W · 45 L+16.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked No35c48.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1410220.6%21 W · 81 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No43c45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.358746%40 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes54c45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.74047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4f1…4d6ebacked No44c36.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.891040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed No46c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.382657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes78c34.49$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7355954.9%307 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed No45c34.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4813650%68 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No41c32.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1298653.2%525 W · 461 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4aa…f4e5backed No49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-47.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed Yes78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.75650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes76c29.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick77cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No45c28.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134537.8%17 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3450…cee8backed Yes54c28.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.97977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Yes54c27.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.796767.2%45 W · 22 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb445…e4a3backed Yes57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.321050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed No47c24.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a06…248abacked No44c22.84$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.051560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked No47c22.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.471250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6522…3a5abacked Yes57c21.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.181942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5837…8cdebacked Yes52c20.55$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.865459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf1d…9591backed Yes52c20.34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.766660.6%40 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes75c20.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0532257.8%186 W · 136 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc5…ab0dbacked Yes79c18.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes62c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8735163.5%223 W · 128 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.