Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x415eb1b6484790242ff49dcc552e39bdf016be7fdb975a7b2cdd41b6ed579759
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 45c | 1,227$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.68 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 1,148$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.47 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 22c | 750$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 743$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.46 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Yes | 52c | 601.85$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.38 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 51c | 530.9$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.31 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 55c | 211.24$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.77 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 49c | 158.49$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.71 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 50c | 153.86$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.93 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 50c | 147.82$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.91 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 52c | 124$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 50c | 115.52$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…79c7backed Yes | 37c | 106.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 39c | 105.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 33c | 97.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed No | 67c | 93.63$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes | 50c | 93.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…6fa9backed No | 33c | 93.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 60c | 90.72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked No | 57c | 84.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…6600backed Yes | 34c | 72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 73c | 66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 52c | 65.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 56c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -21.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 40c | 35.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 45c | 31.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 54c | 30.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 59c | 27.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 59c | 27.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 49c | 22.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 49c | 22.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…ffd7backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 70c | 16.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 78c | 16.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Páfos FC win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will FC Dinamo City vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Dinamo City win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.