Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Dinamo City vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9438872f893527959b688528bfc21d5e333fab0d37cbb70feaed92d5ee35e55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 28c | 1,238$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.1 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 79c | 686.17$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.38 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 613.89$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.58 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 7c | 237$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbeca…a1b7backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked No | 10c | 137.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 105$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.55 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 62.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 33c | 62.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 44c | 55.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 44c | 55.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 24c | 47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 48c | 36.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 41c | 32.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -21.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 70c | 22.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 65c | 19.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 60c | 19.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bde…ecbabacked Yes | 63c | 17.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 67c | 15.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 67c | 15.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Dinamo City vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Dinamo City win on 2026-08-20?No won
- Will Páfos FC win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.