Mls · resolved market
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d1ebbebf5454a176e29d3774a9fdd09cba62444417ddfe9b3cdd1e6b710f6e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $943,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $951,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $943,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 45c | 729,757$329,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329,912.53 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 55c | 308,167$170,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137,576.54 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed No | 55c | 230,788$126,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,170.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0e…2ee5backed No | 53c | 100,000$53,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 46c | 39,564$18,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,337.52 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 44c | 34,945$15,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,431.78 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 52c | 25,662$13,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,220.33 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 45c | 25,531$11,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,524.29 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 54c | 23,404$12,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,657.97 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 53c | 22,100$11,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,387 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -73%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 55c | 17,448$9,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,907.84 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 46c | 12,266$5,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,642.36 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 54c | 11,000$5,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,029.97 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 10,500$5,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,760 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes | 59c | 10,133$5,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,989.55 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes | 46c | 9,877$4,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,543.42 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 41c | 9,717$3,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,734.5 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 55c | 8,000$4,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,639.98 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked No | 55c | 7,500$4,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,389.99 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 6,749$3,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,138.31 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 55c | 6,227$3,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.98 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 56c | 6,060$3,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.18 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Yes | 45c | 5,844$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed No | 54c | 5,525$2,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 55c | 4,995$2,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.55 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 58c | 4,248$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.07 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 54c | 4,018$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.78 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 55c | 3,322$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.29 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed No | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 54c | 2,762$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.78 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 54c | 2,756$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.18 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Yes | 39c | 2,711$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.12 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 55c | 2,598$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked No | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 55c | 2,495$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.36 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 41c | 2,474$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.91 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 2,216$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.39 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 55c | 2,122$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.88 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed No | 54c | 2,065$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 54c | 2,058$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.6 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked No | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed No | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 48c | 1,960$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.18 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 54c | 1,856$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.87 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9d…63f9backed Yes | 51c | 1,781$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 54c | 1,595$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.49 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 56c | 1,568$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.92 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 54c | 1,508$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.68 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 54c | 1,371$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.12 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 61c | 1,254$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.83 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…107bbacked No | 54c | 1,100$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 71c | 1,068$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.57 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 56c | 991.99$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.77 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 55c | 942.14$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.39 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 52c | 912.1$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.4 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Yes | 46c | 850$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 54c | 779.9$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.9 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 51c | 753$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.41 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 56c | 714.28$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.28 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…84cebacked Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 69c | 638$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.4 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 32c | 636.37$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.82 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked No | 37c | 618.98$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.83 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 61c | 611.95$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.73 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 41c | 602.86$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.36 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 72c | 572.04$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.87 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed No | 54c | 555$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 49c | 533.8$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.24 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked No | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked No | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed No | 53c | 498.4$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked No | 39c | 484$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.54 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed No | 55c | 479$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.55 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 56c | 416.66$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed No | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 42c | 408.83$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.88 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 69c | 403.99$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.77 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 64c | 403.48$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.46 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 55c | 363.57$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.79 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 55c | 328.76$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.85 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb10…5080backed Yes | 42c | 311.96$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…084dbacked Yes | 46c | 308.32$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.83 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed No | 55c | 278.94$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.52 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 46c | 271$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.66 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 47c | 270.67$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.39 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Yes | 71c | 268.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.45 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 68c | 266.25$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.76 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Yes | 65c | 251.8$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.35 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 46c | 239.68$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 28c | 234.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed No | 49c | 230$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 49c | 221.43$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.93 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Montréal win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will CF Montréal vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.