Premier League · resolved market
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc34b572eafa8cc8db6513b77a16ad49838d1ba18de0b774135c4bfd0bfa1542f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 52c | 9,100$4,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,334.8 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…ffa7backed Yes | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68b9…1664backed Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 1,435$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.89 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,085$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 1,061$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.59 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Yes | 51c | 982.32$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 29c | 932.13$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.91 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 48c | 839.26$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.87 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 9c | 431.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffdf…97f8backed Yes | 52c | 423.76$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +154.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 48c | 282.34$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.82 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed No | 45c | 133.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.48 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 17c | 115$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 53c | 113.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ace…23d1backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes | 53c | 90.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 49c | 86.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…6f17backed Yes | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 64.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 51c | 63.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 23c | 61.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 37c | 59.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 48c | 57.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…ae14backed No | 45c | 57.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 25c | 43.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3656…6a0cbacked Yes | 58c | 38.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Yes | 49c | 33.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e93…7fa4backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 50c | 28.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b38…1642backed Yes | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…34d6backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 62cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6615…3e28backed Yes | 55c | 18.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Bolton Wanderers FC win on 2026-08-22?No won
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Bolton Wanderers FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.