Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-08-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c9577d5d686355b522292b1e62a98b3eb559599c565500579c1ca16de4adfc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 4c | 4,929$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.34 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 76c | 3,484$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.8 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 72c | 3,204$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.52 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd471…edf8backed No | 19c | 2,742$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 1c | 1,871$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +19.0wins | +0.28per pick | 46cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 29c | 1,685$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.72 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked No | 14c | 1,450$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.18 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 7c | 1,305$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.03 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Yes | 62c | 1,229$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.68 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 43c | 772$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.11 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 24c | 532.8$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.13 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 10c | 466.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 18c | 297.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 27c | 257.26$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 28c | 225$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 20c | 166.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 67c | 139.71$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 67c | 137.25$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 79c | 135$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 24c | 134$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba1…6aefbacked No | 13c | 104.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked No | 31c | 104$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 79c | 101.73$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 18c | 99.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 23c | 98.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked No | 29c | 69.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 21c | 68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed No | 21c | 68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 21c | 67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 18c | 66.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 25c | 56.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 59c | 48.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee0…d8e1backed No | 42c | 35.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 72c | 24.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28b…60c6backed Yes | 72c | 20.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 80c | 15.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-08-13?this page
- Will Bohemian FC win on 2026-08-13?No won
- Will FC Midtjylland vs. Bohemian FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.