Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Odense BK win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf3265848271aa9c79d01ada4ea3420a4fd08b4b6b992cf2c997d1397aa38e5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 47c | 4,846$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 59c | 3,464$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.8 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 49c | 3,329$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.08 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde31…df79backed Yes | 55c | 1,734$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 1,174$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.89 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 7c | 736$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 76c | 719.9$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.39 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 10c | 487.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 424.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked No | 45c | 311.11$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.11 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 45c | 311.11$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.11 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…30f9backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d9…f009backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 55c | 236.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Yes | 33c | 194.77$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 52c | 150.94$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 150.36$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.7 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 119.46$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 45c | 114$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes | 76c | 83.41$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 76c | 81.82$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 38c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…7551backed Yes | 43c | 72.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 56c | 64.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 47c | 61.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 39c | 41.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 45c | 40.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 42c | 40.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 47c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 45c | 32.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 43c | 24.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 63c | 23.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…9591backed Yes | 57c | 21.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…8cdebacked Yes | 57c | 21.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Yes | 77c | 19.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Odense BK win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will AC Horsens win on 2026-08-16?Yes won
- Will Odense BK vs. AC Horsens end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.