Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-08-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x843407f676f71af16de2f33ff7fd58e124447e06274ce0028279bc94ee3e1e1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 52c | 5,809$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.86 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 53c | 3,704$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.97 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 46c | 1,780$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.71 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 62c | 1,386$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.68 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 1,356$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.96 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…c617backed No | 38c | 1,050$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 38c | 868.75$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.13 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 39c | 617$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.44 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 36c | 472.61$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.14 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 64c | 470$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.2 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 63c | 330.56$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.48 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 39c | 309.92$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.87 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…65e7backed Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.26per pick | 32cpaid | +88%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 62c | 285.69$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.56 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 53c | 284.91$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.91 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 44c | 229.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.8 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.28per pick | 51cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3509…9e45backed Yes | 39c | 220$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd806…5131backed No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 78c | 162$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes | 50c | 160.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 79c | 158.25$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 62c | 146.5$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 38c | 114$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 49c | 96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 36c | 85.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 44c | 84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 48c | 81.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 45c | 76.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 14c | 74.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 61c | 65.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 52c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77b…9bbcbacked Yes | 53c | 46.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 31c | 44.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 56c | 36.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Yes | 62c | 33.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 56c | 32.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Yes | 43c | 31.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…095bbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…e591backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7618…24c6backed Yes | 55c | 30.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…167dbacked Yes | 61c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 41c | 29.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 54c | 26.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…c609backed Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 43cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…d1a7backed Yes | 80c | 19.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-08-13?this page
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-08-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.