Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0395fc21e8fc63a028cf48d7399530fc1630a5686641d89cd572bb9d68b7902
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 3,527$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.28 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 1,864$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.59 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 26c | 1,197$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.04 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…36f6backed Yes | 27c | 316$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.11 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 76c | 272.51$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 69c | 251.35$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.92 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a0…6702backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…44b2backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +82%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Yes | 11c | 228.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 43c | 210$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 79c | 205.1$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked No | 51c | 171$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 41c | 154.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 20c | 131.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 75c | 99.42$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 64c | 76.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 45c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked No | 80c | 47.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 72c | 42.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Yes | 25c | 40.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 43c | 37.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 79c | 36.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 45c | 32.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa883…534dbacked No | 75c | 21.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd778…0ca4backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 74c | 19.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 75c | 14.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-08-13?Yes won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-08-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.