Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf78b7d899b061ee3f10b507ab313fbff7f4ee3e827ba536793a87ab47112afe3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Yes | 51c | 13,213$6,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,739.24 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 46c | 6,947$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,727.13 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed No | 51c | 5,580$2,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,734.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 72c | 5,000$3,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,589.75 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Yes | 65c | 2,978$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.05 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 42c | 2,024$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.96 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 29c | 1,502$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.73 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 30c | 1,385$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.71 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 30c | 1,269$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.18 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 22c | 1,223$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.06 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 70c | 1,147$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.91 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 29c | 1,121$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.28 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 54c | 789.3$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.07 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 774.49$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.21 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 718.52$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.8 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 59c | 656$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.96 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 70c | 616.8$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.91 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 42c | 448.19$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.98 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 54c | 443.91$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 59c | 435.71$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.64 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 55c | 351.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.72 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 71c | 294$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.74 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 64c | 246.27$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.66 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 64c | 231.95$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.35 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Yes | 12c | 225$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 38c | 207$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.34 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 69c | 190.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.79 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Yes | 28c | 184$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 70c | 154.75$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.33 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed No | 33c | 149.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 46c | 147.3$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 28c | 134.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.3 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Yes | 61c | 122.72$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 30c | 120$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Yes | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 29c | 114.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28b…60c6backed No | 55c | 111.1$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 55c | 106.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Yes | 72c | 103.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 38c | 99.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 69c | 98.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 28c | 83.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 62c | 72.9$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 70%56 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 33c | 70.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed No | 28c | 64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 45c | 60.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 59c | 53.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 50c | 51.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 63c | 49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 22c | 48.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 28c | 47.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 29c | 46.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5909…9c8cbacked Yes | 53c | 45.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…0242backed No | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5120…b26bbacked Yes | 33c | 41.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed No | 37c | 40.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed No | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 44c | 38.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 29c | 37.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 69c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 70c | 32.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed No | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 39c | 30.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 38c | 29.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 71c | 14.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-13?this page
- Will FK Dynama-Minsk vs. SC Braga end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FK Dynama-Minsk win on 2026-08-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.