La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Eldense win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf98e8990d53dcd422fe280f2be371e1efe9d257148770fba377f1f3201ae43d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Yes | 9c | 1,466$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.39 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 46c | 682.17$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.25 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 64c | 380$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed No | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 43c | 328.32$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.79 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 308.33$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.02 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 53c | 278$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.68 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 262.03$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.58 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 70c | 179$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.09 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 47c | 158.38$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 34c | 151.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 70c | 133.48$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.93 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes | 47c | 117.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…ffc3backed Yes | 44c | 110.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…dc21backed Yes | 36c | 76.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 16c | 63.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +14.3wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +150%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 56c | 58.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…8d7bbacked Yes | 44c | 54.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 59c | 47.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 41c | 47.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 41c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 59c | 46.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 80c | 35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 58c | 33.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 56c | 32.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 31.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 41c | 29.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1988backed No | 57c | 24.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bde…ecbabacked No | 70c | 14.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Eldense win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will CD Eldense vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.