Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40c85370a4e3139dcb78200c4cc0b9e7c60977303a5507e0f2cb8bd35f430be3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 53c | 3,019$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 49c | 2,624$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.48 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 47c | 1,959$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.2 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 52c | 1,575$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.23 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked No | 53c | 1,143$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 23c | 702.85$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.56 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Yes | 48c | 588.24$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 23c | 539.45$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.43 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffdf…97f8backed No | 49c | 447.68$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +154.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 75c | 446.85$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.14 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 21c | 341.57$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 326$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.52 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 51c | 290$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 71c | 278.77$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.93 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yes | 64c | 257.68$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 233.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.67 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 48c | 208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked No | 48c | 198$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 6c | 196$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed No | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 15c | 190$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 48c | 169.01$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed No | 50c | 168.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a98…ef19backed No | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…3cc1backed Yes | 74c | 134.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Yes | 48c | 129.17$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 69c | 88.16$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 15c | 80.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 47c | 78.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 30c | 68.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed No | 48c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…c5c0backed Yes | 70c | 63.56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881d…8c18backed Yes | 52c | 61.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes | 69c | 58.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 48c | 55.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 52c | 54.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 65c | 48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +7.2wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 51c | 44.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd2…aafebacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4f…b507backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes | 52c | 38.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 37.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 48c | 34.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 52c | 30.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f12…3f91backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 69c | 16.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Preston North End FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.