Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Rīga FC win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6198e4fce59204937314ea10df47c438cc215d54be1754a0ebc2bc096005086
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 52c | 8,187$4,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,929.76 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 48c | 6,746$3,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,224.99 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 53c | 5,125$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.54 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Yes | 47c | 1,573$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.18 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…2791backed Yes | 45c | 1,353$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 39c | 1,151$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.52 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 46c | 623.56$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.92 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 36c | 535.6$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.81 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 47c | 463.85$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.94 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 46c | 432$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 53c | 363.49$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.2 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 48c | 318$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.64 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 39c | 207.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.28 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Yes | 46c | 200.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…084dbacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 64c | 196.06$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.58 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Yes | 47c | 185.37$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed No | 51c | 182.59$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.47 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 47c | 159.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.49 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 53c | 148.42$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes | 45c | 127.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 53c | 125$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 125$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 67c | 114.74$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Yes | 28c | 103.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes | 53c | 94.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 75.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…e2c2backed Yes | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 54c | 58.77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 60c | 50.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 55c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 46c | 49.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 53c | 46.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 63c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 52c | 41.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 53c | 41.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked No | 54c | 41.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 41.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881d…8c18backed Yes | 49c | 41.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…74debacked No | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 54c | 35.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…0301backed Yes | 46c | 35.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…4094backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 54c | 30.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 48c | 29.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…df7fbacked No | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Yes | 48c | 22.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rīga FC win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will KÍ vs. Rīga FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will KÍ win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.