TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2026-08-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,973
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$142,700

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,973 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4408…1b6abacked No27c33,045$8,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,922.095135.3%18 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes78c18,373$14,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,967.132,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No33c5,987$1,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,962.6412057.5%69 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes72c4,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12021237.3%79 W · 133 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No28c3,555$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.661,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No21c3,119$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.957936.7%29 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No27c2,979$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.1191950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes75c2,723$2,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.992,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked No22c2,524$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.393534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+76.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes77c2,076$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.4478344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Yes71c1,758$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No27c1,462$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.6896947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed No24c1,395$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.614637.7%55 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes73c1,357$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.2113547.4%64 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.332462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No3c1,331$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3176941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes73c1,282$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.0211650.9%59 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes74c1,173$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.373953.8%21 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed No24c1,078$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.342040%8 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed No10c1,060$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.012835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes72c1,028$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.323,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9618…77e6backed No21c945.95$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.422437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No4c838.39$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.571,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed No9c805.56$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756547.7%31 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+35.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No27c766.54$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20844156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked No11c745.36$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9914931.5%47 W · 102 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No29c744.97$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.9469448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No29c729.05$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.4266150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes80c692.18$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.7827846.4%129 W · 149 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed Yes72c631.94$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.943658.3%21 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes73c627.55$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.4418252.7%96 W · 86 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x946f…67c1backed Yes77c597.21$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.672669.2%18 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes72c530.81$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.6310463.5%66 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes76c497.4$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.3432436.4%118 W · 206 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No29c494$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.265532.7%18 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes80c456.43$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8133446.7%156 W · 178 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes72c413.37$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.742,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Yes80c407$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.45839.7%23 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No29c371.3$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.685632.1%18 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d1d…f2dfbacked Yes78c369$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.56757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No28c352.97$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.656849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes72c347.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.222250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Yes71c309.86$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.861758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758747.1%41 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d8…ad2abacked No28c282.14$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No28c281.84$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6243344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked No29c275.61$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5518732.1%60 W · 127 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes80c270$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5410839.8%43 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes73c256$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.121,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes73c256$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.121,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes72c236$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0821840.4%88 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked No27c224.57$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.044654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No27c222.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014744.9%66 W · 81 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Yes73c204.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.385257.7%30 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed No25c201.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.344223.8%10 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-54.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No28c200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5577855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1538…8676backed No33c179.46$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-45%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes71c171$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5927039.3%106 W · 164 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No28c161.73$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8147649.4%235 W · 241 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes70c161.29$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6497346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked No12c158.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.372250%11 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed No29c150$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4312941.9%54 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes77c150$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356333.3%21 W · 42 L-7.2wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes77c146.18$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6445348.3%219 W · 234 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8927437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa498…245ebacked Yes73c137.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.751662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No17c128.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6833522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x80cf…30aabacked No11c128.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5577…53d2backed Yes80c120$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-35.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes70c115.03$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5131842.1%134 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x294f…eeabbacked Yes72c110.53$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.951637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Yes72c106.2$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.236761.2%41 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6717059.4%101 W · 69 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288540%34 W · 51 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No19c99.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8815828.5%45 W · 113 L-18.5wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-36.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked No28c88.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes72c83.48$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7311839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1159…7c71backed Yes71c82.24$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.85850%4 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes72c80$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.615440.7%22 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed No26c79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.548446.4%39 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Yes71c78.61$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.83164.5%20 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes76c77.96$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.717954.4%43 W · 36 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No26c75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.259753.6%52 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes72c74$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.723857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No27c73.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.756639.4%26 W · 40 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes67c72$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8653564.7%346 W · 189 L+29.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes71c71.72$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.677269.4%50 W · 22 L+10.2wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+28.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes72c69.54$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.47944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b3…966bbacked No33c67.88$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes75c64.61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.157857.7%45 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes72c52.62$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9265535.6%233 W · 422 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bfe…9257backed Yes80c51.75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.351338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Yes73c47.04$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.73348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe432…934abacked Yes76c44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.562748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes78c42.86$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2438952.7%205 W · 184 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Yes76c42.03$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.235158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb8a…f7abbacked No26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-37.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Yes73c37.56$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.086854.4%37 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf791…4932backed Yes80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.58100%8 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+93.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.