La Liga · resolved market
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb57965aad381c2b03cbdc32fa8c545dbcc70373338e04da944057f83c6d18f66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 75c | 1,389$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.82 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…8b76backed Yes | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 8c | 978.16$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 947.43$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.5 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 78c | 460.24$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 54c | 374.8$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.41 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed No | 26c | 348$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 28cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 22c | 329.45$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 44c | 218.4$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.09 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 24c | 191.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 22c | 167.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 192 | 47.4%91 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 10c | 159.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 22c | 144.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes | 59c | 100.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 40c | 98.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 26c | 96.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 39c | 85.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed No | 18c | 83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…ffc3backed No | 40c | 77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc41…c3aebacked No | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 59c | 66.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 39c | 65.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 22c | 56.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 60c | 54.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf2…d6d8backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…ce9bbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed No | 39c | 25.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 58c | 25.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 60c | 22.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…8cdebacked Yes | 57c | 21.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…9591backed Yes | 60c | 20.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Andorra win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-08-15?No won
- Will FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.