South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5b59980b0b76277b04f61b2f2d39f56236f675f7f0cfa73a271371212121d3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 1c | 6,524$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.55 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 11c | 3,094$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.13 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…465ebacked No | 57c | 2,685$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.07 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 35c | 2,350$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.06 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 35c | 1,521$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.33 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 35c | 1,080$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.14 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 65c | 1,003$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.15 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 36c | 797.94$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.71 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 80c | 757.27$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.12 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 17c | 500.07$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Yes | 34c | 476.18$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.9 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6739…132cbacked No | 66c | 441.18$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 436.05$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.68 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked No | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 54c | 372.82$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.87 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 35c | 256.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 250.78$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 66c | 217.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.12 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 56c | 164.23$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 67c | 150.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…f71dbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 63c | 96.16$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 12c | 95.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0430…b7bbbacked Yes | 40c | 69.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 60c | 64.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 63c | 59.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 28c | 57.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Yes | 35c | 56.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed No | 66c | 55.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 27c | 51.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…9dabbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 65c | 47.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed No | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Yes | 35c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 76c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…7f0cbacked No | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…dc25backed No | 71c | 37.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 35c | 32.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bba…161abacked No | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 37c | 31.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 63c | 27.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 65c | 24.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 62c | 20.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9133…20acbacked Yes | 63c | 16.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 65c | 16.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-08-20?Yes won
- Will Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.