South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb0d3e80c1890314e1a097aa67d96de1bc735d775f02cf1f23d8f94c24ca6749
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 41c | 4,821$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.36 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 4,135$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.49 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 31c | 2,073$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.05 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 1,432$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.94 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed No | 5c | 1,124$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 67c | 808.3$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.56 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed No | 69c | 719.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 65c | 540.94$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.61 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed No | 64c | 510.17$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.92 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 35c | 442.8$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.82 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed No | 68c | 435$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.8 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 66c | 361.45$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.69 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 33c | 346.59$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.18 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 31c | 291$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.79 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed Yes | 35c | 288.79$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed Yes | 62c | 274.19$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 35c | 271.69$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.46 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed No | 11c | 266.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 262.8$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.96 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Yes | 21c | 242.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.14 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked No | 41c | 233.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 33c | 219.52$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.21 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…f2dfbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 13c | 181.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…65e7backed Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 34c | 131$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.46 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked No | 67c | 125.37$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 123.95$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.66 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked No | 15c | 119.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 41c | 113.32$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…dc25backed No | 44c | 101.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 46c | 91.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…892fbacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 65c | 88.47$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f9…955bbacked Yes | 35c | 88.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +187.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 41c | 81.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…b2cebacked Yes | 35c | 57.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd082…29e4backed Yes | 70c | 45.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9f…c675backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 85 | 69.4%59 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 29c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Yes | 68c | 36.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 67c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 67c | 26.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 44c | 25.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 53c | 22.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.