Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b4450955c13ff2cdbf1b6f23310f4f32be847d539999bc989a632a5c5c0f726
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.96 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed No | 71c | 4,002$2,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.66 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +102%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 2,548$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.09 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 29c | 1,100$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Yes | 10c | 900$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 25c | 818.52$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.43 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 19c | 799.98$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.16 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 74c | 772.7$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.24 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 29c | 691.68$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.84 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 73c | 522.41$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.75 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 17c | 476.77$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…4cfdbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 29c | 360$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 67c | 356.84$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.66 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…36f6backed Yes | 19c | 333.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.38 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 16c | 320$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8db8backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 29c | 257.59$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…a830backed Yes | 33c | 210$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 22c | 195.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Yes | 18c | 187$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 60c | 163.35$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.01 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 21c | 162.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d22…2bafbacked Yes | 34c | 145.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 30c | 144.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 17c | 144$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 59c | 142$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.56 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 18c | 139$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 27c | 135.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545b…7e82backed Yes | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 71c | 121$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 45c | 100.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…10dcbacked Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…892fbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…a6a4backed Yes | 31c | 64.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 76c | 47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 24c | 45.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Yes | 58c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a59…6961backed Yes | 32c | 40.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 35c | 38.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 76c | 34.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 51c | 26.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 70c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 76c | 17.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-08-21?Yes won
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-08-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.