Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Molde FK win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d8cc188195d71587bc9b8aa3cad742e0d4b7d4943e2c2f47508291de34e18f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3eb0…6a68backed No | 50c | 40,603$20,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,311.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 21c | 23,314$4,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,946.92 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 78c | 21,950$17,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,747.1 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 50c | 17,168$8,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,583.89 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 30c | 12,187$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680.31 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 9,753$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530.88 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 23c | 7,625$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.74 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 50c | 6,742$3,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,371.37 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 78c | 4,810$3,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.23 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 51c | 4,500$2,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…1296backed No | 20c | 2,998$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 51c | 2,992$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.81 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 36c | 2,773$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.35 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ca…ac4cbacked Yes | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…5782backed No | 17c | 2,059$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d4…364fbacked No | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 49c | 1,736$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.58 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 21c | 1,435$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 80c | 1,328$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.69 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Yes | 47c | 1,326$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.78 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5141…ea1cbacked No | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 26c | 1,104$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.92 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 50c | 1,070$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.82 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 26c | 1,053$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.78 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 26c | 1,053$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.78 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.79 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 51c | 680.31$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.95 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…217abacked No | 23c | 647.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 27c | 579.35$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.42 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 53c | 527.57$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.57 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 524.64$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.32 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 49c | 455.16$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.13 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 51c | 408.16$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed No | 26c | 387.69$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked No | 26c | 384$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 77 | 79.2%61 W · 16 L | +18.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 50c | 376$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 50c | 376$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Yes | 50c | 343.35$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.68 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…291fbacked Yes | 48c | 335$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfedf…60f1backed No | 17c | 298$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 27c | 288$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 51c | 261$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.11 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 52c | 255$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 26c | 237$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 48c | 230$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 77c | 207.27$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 27c | 197.93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 73c | 197$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 27c | 193.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 29c | 188$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 42c | 140$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Yes | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 23c | 137.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 27c | 122.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 77c | 117.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…1b78backed No | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 20c | 102.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Yes | 49c | 98.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +62%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 26c | 98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 26c | 93.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…ffc3backed Yes | 50c | 92.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 75c | 91.04$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834d…0c31backed No | 23c | 88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 39c | 88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 19c | 87.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 75.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 52c | 69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 53c | 69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 80c | 65.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 32c | 61.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed No | 48c | 52.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked No | 26c | 52.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 26c | 51.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f79…0307backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Yes | 79c | 49.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 37c | 46.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked No | 26c | 44.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 55c | 43.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 77c | 41.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…b1debacked No | 36c | 40.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 30c | 40.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 29c | 40.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82f…aba0backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 50c | 30.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 52c | 29.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…e4a3backed No | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Molde FK win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will Molde FK vs. Tromsø IL end in a draw?No won
- Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.