Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Molde FK vs. Tromsø IL end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x458ecc93173fcc3a077090dcfcf9e71a341712202cae3686d05b41197f81efda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 15c | 6,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.99 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f8…0108backed Yes | 25c | 2,400$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.97 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 75c | 1,314$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.13 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 864.19$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.43 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 75c | 583.95$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.99 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 80c | 321.82$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 75c | 215$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Yes | 11c | 199.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 25c | 172.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 75c | 169.61$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 26c | 157.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Yes | 37c | 131.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 18c | 105.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1d…b7cabacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +175%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 75c | 71.35$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…5cabbacked Yes | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 23c | 58.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 25c | 53.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 79c | 42.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 73c | 21.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Molde FK vs. Tromsø IL end in a draw?this page
- Will Molde FK win on 2026-08-16?Yes won
- Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.