Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa44ff90c942e2004eb0dc8cf176c25f13c44cd24e180161552f5219e69fd0967
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 56c | 6,307$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.92 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 6,256$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804.56 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 44c | 4,938$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.62 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 55c | 2,386$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.11 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 1,838$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.91 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 57c | 1,620$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.86 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 56c | 1,321$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.96 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Yes | 43c | 1,214$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.02 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf024…fbd3backed No | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd76…a60cbacked Yes | 43c | 1,012$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.1 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 56c | 999.5$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.24 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 56c | 861.3$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.29 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 45c | 756.68$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.01 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 37c | 500.14$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.99 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Yes | 42c | 462$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.81 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -81%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 44c | 452.67$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.53 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 43c | 385$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.55 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed No | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 43c | 357$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.51 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked Yes | 42c | 335.72$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 55c | 270.07$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.05 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd8…e787backed No | 57c | 255$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…ef2bbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 43c | 204.94$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.62 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 46c | 203$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.38 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 45c | 191.77$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.82 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Yes | 42c | 173.01$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 31c | 128.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 45c | 120.06$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 73c | 100.27$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 42c | 99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.21 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 93.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Yes | 71c | 77.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…0fd1backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 44c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 54c | 41.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 43c | 38.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 55c | 36.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da6…9ac4backed Yes | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 56c | 30.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 55c | 29.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed No | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 47c | 26.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 73c | 26.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 56c | 26.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 56c | 24.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 50c | 23.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b1…d841backed Yes | 44c | 23.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 55c | 21.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…0ff5backed No | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-08-20?No won
- Will Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Kuopion PS end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.