Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bfd74f9472d582ae98c32a77b703568e092b41ea64c12c60ec4b27a9d721c97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 25c | 9,155$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.74 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 4,217$3,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.18 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 3,222$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.98 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 75c | 2,164$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.05 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 29c | 1,626$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.3 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 72c | 897.01$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.16 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 28c | 535.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 433.57$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.35 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 30c | 386$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.8 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c55…4a8cbacked No | 70c | 240.9$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.27 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd8…e787backed Yes | 31c | 207$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 72c | 199.76$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 75c | 121$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 75c | 118.25$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 16c | 117.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 28c | 99.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 75c | 95.75$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 75c | 95.73$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 29c | 63.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 57.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 76c | 52.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 75c | 48.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Yes | 28c | 39.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 36.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 75c | 30.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 71c | 27.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 72c | 24.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 71c | 20.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4c…f414backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 72c | 19.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 77c | 16.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Kuopion PS end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.