Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Kuopion PS end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87f0c3fa46ddcf5bad68943e4aed787c421169aaad98688c67fd1f4748aefea4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 28c | 9,155$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,588.37 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 72c | 3,124$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.28 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 72c | 2,521$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.85 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 1,533$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.91 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 1,253$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.48 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 77c | 599.97$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 400$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 183.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.84 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 40c | 130.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 72c | 97.9$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.54 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 24c | 90.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 72c | 86.81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 72c | 76.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 34c | 42.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 72c | 38.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 52c | 31.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 72c | 29.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…0f17backed No | 62c | 19.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 72c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 74c | 14.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Kuopion PS end in a draw?this page
- Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-08-20?No won
- Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.