TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,348
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,319

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,348 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Yes38c29,576$11,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,350.03955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No68c13,914$9,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,489.54,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes32c12,500$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,50017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No59c6,592$3,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,889.4882844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No37c6,426$2,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,353.8614951%76 W · 73 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No13c5,293$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.961,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked No2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick28cpaid-31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No61c4,709$2,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,894.0856439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No27c3,700$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0163053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No28c3,552$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.462450%12 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No68c3,250$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,210.482958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No69c2,676$1,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,838.432853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No1c2,020$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.21216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-75%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No27c2,014$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.473,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No68c2,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3601637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-40.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes56c1,538$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.5321950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes31c1,500$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.984663%29 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No68c1,318$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.2563757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes32c1,123$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.3119133%63 W · 128 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed No63c1,067$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.85616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-76.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5906259.7%37 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes23c999.99$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.867024.3%17 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No68c999.99$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9911723.1%27 W · 90 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes73c952.89$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.89977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No68c917.7$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.0311849.2%58 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes53c823.3$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.0918956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe29f…0b9bbacked Yes76c657.47$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e1…f420backed Yes32c603.5$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+160.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes32c600$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40814244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa457…a061backed No69c582$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.581163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e14…5169backed No60c510.2$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.12666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e7…9461backed No44c501.54$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.15650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No68c500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34075051.3%385 W · 365 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0482…f72abacked No69c500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked No68c500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-43.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No68c452.98$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.039956.6%56 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes36c452.28$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.612142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x219a…a647backed Yes74c402.97$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.972263.6%14 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1686740.3%27 W · 40 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x11b7…0d08backed No21c389.7$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182f…de4fbacked No69c351.58$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes49c338.23$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.984738.3%18 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No59c316.73$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.2539338.9%153 W · 240 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.53748.6%18 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a50…334ebacked Yes32c312.04$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+216.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8bc…ea6abacked Yes31c300$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2072100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+171.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No42c281.66$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.734035%14 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked No68c251.85$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.262850%14 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15013426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No48c239.81$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.877642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed No26c237.33$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.711040%4 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick18cpaid+77.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes31c230.3$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.451,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd23a…d952backed No21c222.8$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c11…48ffbacked Yes32c203.13$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.131250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes70c200.97$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.722147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked Yes41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked Yes41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1183100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+109.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf762…d55fbacked No19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bca…486dbacked Yes29c196.95$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.221060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes32c191.44$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.186839.7%27 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked No69c188.19$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.85366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No68c180$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6663553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes32c178.53$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.443439.6%172 W · 262 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked No28c173.8$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.661225%3 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed No71c172.61$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.914261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0944…358fbacked No67c169.55$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.861827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-58.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ce8…c1f1backed Yes24c164.27$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.27333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+36.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Yes25c160$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203638.9%14 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes26c153.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.482326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-41.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed No70c151.59$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.592944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No71c151.03$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8927257.7%157 W · 115 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked No23c146.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.89922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-67.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes32c143.75$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.753053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x457e…c5b1backed No28c143.2$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ddc…fae1backed No69c143.09$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.73450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc18…6847backed No69c142.78$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes43c140.03$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7711251.8%58 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41ec…744bbacked No69c139.35$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefc3…9a94backed Yes72c137.93$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c63…0857backed No69c137.41$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf3…6052backed No69c135.03$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdea7…9df8backed No64c135$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…01e5backed Yes38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.581060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcfa…d05cbacked No69c131.45$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.730%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9fd…8b78backed No69c129.8$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdeb6…32b5backed Yes22c124.57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+235%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes71c123$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6761557.7%355 W · 260 L+41.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed No17c114.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.995032%16 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Yes24c112.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.53237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No60c112.42$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3168050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes68c111.75$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7525872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No68c110.54$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1769350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes43c109.95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3711154.1%60 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes32c109.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3820630.6%63 W · 143 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd7d9…1a88backed No69c103.91$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce0c…d839backed Yes32c103.13$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.13425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked No68c102.53$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.721546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e4c…5695backed Yes32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed No68c99.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9916142.2%68 W · 93 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf96d…3a1ebacked Yes75c99.76$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.454158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.