South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfafe29c02f66e7686c20d6572e024cf8944ee2b7b74d89bafd6fd4d9406fe038
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 31c | 5,740$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,983.88 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 37c | 3,899$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.14 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 3,012$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.4 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 77c | 2,412$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.41 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 13c | 1,813$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.86 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 5c | 1,416$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 73c | 820.62$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.72 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 12c | 653.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.49 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 49c | 606.07$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 551.35$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.95 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 4c | 474.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 65c | 333.16$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.97 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Under | 4c | 305.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +287.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 61c | 250$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 213.96$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.67 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 8c | 198.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 47c | 177.35$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.35 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 60c | 175$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.61 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 40c | 175$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8c…191cbacked Over | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 78c | 153.41$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.86 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 52c | 112.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 60c | 111.81$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Under | 49c | 110.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 55c | 97.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 77c | 80$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 70c | 64.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 76c | 64.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 65c | 64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 66c | 63.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 67c | 62.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 77.9%53 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 33c | 36.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Over | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 72c | 31.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 43c | 29.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 46c | 26.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…1cb2backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 65c | 21.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb696…7a4ebacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5this page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: Santos FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)Santos FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.