South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65ea056b6c613acb401ba84b75dae0112aa6aafe319f6a866e0e20f6f1adb89e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 3c | 1,455$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 43c | 1,105$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Under | 4c | 1,067$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 5c | 817.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 70c | 651.94$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.48 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Under | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 64c | 351.5$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.23 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa425…a8bbbacked Under | 8c | 331.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 74 | 10.8%8 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 11c | 258.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…d4a0backed Over | 69c | 240$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 21c | 238.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 80c | 188.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 65c | 164.92$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 24c | 164.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8c…191cbacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 131.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…1688backed Over | 71c | 68.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed Over | 79c | 58.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…96d8backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 68c | 17.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: O/U 0.5this page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: Santos FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)Santos FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.