South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0eb313938c7e3668786a2d5571b347b6ad6c590e5e88c40b2ba7a4c06a077776
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 6,990$4,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.27 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 29c | 3,934$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.49 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 50c | 3,042$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.95 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Yes | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 1,197$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.61 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 870.68$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.71 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 53c | 576.36$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.47 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…2183backed Yes | 45c | 521.09$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 47c | 450.22$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.99 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8136…772cbacked No | 48c | 227.08$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 52c | 157.94$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 53c | 140.13$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.27 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 76c | 101$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5713…bc5cbacked Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 71c | 58.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 72c | 55.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 52c | 44.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 65c | 43.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a1…ab16backed Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 52c | 38.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Yes | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…374bbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 72c | 35.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 71c | 34.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 47c | 26.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 52c | 24.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.8wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 52c | 20.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Yes | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…70ffbacked Yes | 53c | 18.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 73c | 17.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 74c | 16.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: Santos FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)Santos FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.