South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe67b2c22100e463cdd82a2de2a291b7cae7853e38a7f7f3f098d5cc2909ef3ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 0c | 11,528$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 21c | 6,246$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,935.26 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 2c | 3,600$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Under | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 53c | 1,567$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.63 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 1c | 1,486$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 1,191$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.18 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x573a…dcbfbacked Under | 2c | 949$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…89c6backed Under | 61c | 635.86$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.84 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 47c | 276.47$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.53 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 52c | 268.04$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.38 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 47c | 265$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.45 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 47c | 265$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.45 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 48c | 245.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.91 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 61c | 160.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.18 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 79c | 150$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.31 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 133$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 47c | 123.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.58 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 79c | 88.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 34c | 69.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 53c | 66.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 77c | 57.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 77.9%53 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 78c | 50.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa151…03b0backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 66c | 46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 78c | 41.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 40.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 47c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 36.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Under | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 52c | 32.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 80c | 31.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 45c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 75c | 18.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5this page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: Santos FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)Santos FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.