Other European Leagues · resolved market
Molde FK vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64da978128d624e20acd384c93532563be16a90dd1e95e3f3dc55d66b4bf8e14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 36c | 4,307$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.34 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 54c | 2,906$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.17 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 2,811$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.21 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 52c | 989.69$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.87 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 64c | 781$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.16 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 59c | 722.45$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.45 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 53c | 415.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.09 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 42c | 369.98$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.63 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 59c | 350$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 64c | 349.78$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.92 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 38c | 299.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 40c | 272.72$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 50c | 269.9$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.41 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 63c | 185.83$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.7 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 42c | 150.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 42c | 107.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 39c | 97.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 43c | 96.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 58c | 87.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 60c | 79.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 51c | 70.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 65c | 50.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 57c | 45.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 57c | 44.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 49c | 41.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0a…f2debacked Over | 63c | 39.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 64c | 37.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 41c | 35.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 54c | 30.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over | 60c | 28.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 49c | 26.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Over | 56c | 26.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 64c | 20.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Molde FK vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 2.5this page
- Molde FK vs. Tromsø IL: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Tromsø IL: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Molde FK vs. Tromsø IL: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Molde FK vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 0.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 1.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 3.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 4.5Over won
- Molde FK vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 5.5Under won
- Molde FK vs. Tromsø IL: Tromsø IL O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Molde FK (-1.5)Tromsø IL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.